Sunday, February 28, 2021

Jahn Regensburg vs Werder Bremen

Jahnstadion Regensburg is the venue as Jahn Regensburg and Werder Bremen lock horns in the DFB Pokal quarter-finals.

The hosts outscored Paderborn 1-0 in their last 2. Bundesliga fixture, putting a four-match winless streak in all competitions to an end (D3, L1). For ‘Die Jahnelf,’ goals have been at a premium lately, as they’ve netted under 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight outings across several competitions, with five of their six strikes in that sequence coming inside the final ten minutes of either half. At home, Mersad Selimbegovic’s men are unbeaten in their last five competitive games (W2, D3), four of which have seen both teams on the scoresheet. Curiously, each of Regensburg’s three DFB Pokal matches this season has seen them progress after a penalty shoot-out, dumping the likes of Kaiserslautern, Wehen, and Koln in the process. 

Meanwhile, Werder performed a stunning second-half comeback to beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 at home at the weekend and snap a two-game winless run (D1, L1). Away from home, they have alternated a defeat with a win in their last three Bundesliga trips (W1, L2), drawing a blank in both reverses. Indeed, five of their previous seven competitive away matches have seen one or both sides fail to get on the scoresheet, which has been the case in their only meeting with Regensburg in the 21st century (2-0 win in DFB Pokal in 2004). Werder’s road to the Cup quarter-finals has seen them overcome three lower-league sides without conceding, outperforming a pair of 2. Bundesliga clubs in their last two DFB Pokal fixtures by multi-goal margins.

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Borussia Monchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund 03/03/21

The DFB Pokal quarter-finals pit Borussia Monchengladbach against Borussia Dortmund, with the two sides facing off at Borussia-Park for the second time this season.

Borussia Monchengladbach squandered a 2-0 half-time lead to lose 3-2 at RB Leipzig in their weekend’s Bundesliga showdown, stretching their winless streak in all competitions to five games (D1, L4). Lackluster defending has seen ‘Die Fohlen’ concede over 1.5 goals in four of their last five competitive outings, letting in at least one goal in both halves on three of those occasions. After winning three consecutive home games to begin the new calendar year, Gladbach have now lost three in a row, conceding precisely twice in each reverse. It will be a daunting prospect for Marco Rose’s men to avoid a similar scenario here, as they take on a side they’ve shipped over 1.5 goals against in five of their last six competitive H2Hs as hosts (W1, L5).

Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund hammered Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 at home in the Bundesliga weekend, bringing their winning run in all competitions to three matches. Free-scoring ‘Borussen’ have netted 2+ goals in each of their last four competitive games, mustering a total of 12! Indeed, Edin Terzic’s men have enjoyed a notable upturn in form, as evidenced by the fact that they’ve gone from three consecutive away defeats to back-to-back victories, with each of those fixtures featuring over 2.5 total goals. Curiously, none of Dortmund’s last ten away games have ended level (W6, L4), with each of those results (win/loss) seeing the winner on the day get on the scoresheet at least twice. In turn, they have bagged 2+ goals in each of their three DFB Pokal triumphs this season.

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Lazio vs Torino

The two clubs that have experienced contrasting fortunes in their previous Serie A outings will lock horns at the Stadio Olimpico as Lazio take on Torino.

Simone Inzaghi’s men suffered a dismal 2-0 away defeat at Bologna at the weekend and will be looking to avoid a similar setback, as they now trail fourth-placed Atalanta by three points. Interestingly, since drawing 1-1 at Genoa in their first Serie A match in 2021, none of Lazio’s subsequent nine league matches have ended in a draw (W7, L2), 55.56% of those wins/losses seeing the victor keep a clean sheet. At home, ‘I Biancocelesti’ are on a six-game winning streak in Serie A, shutting out their opposition on four occasions in that sequence. Furthermore, the H2H stakes at the Olimpico in the 21st century massively favor the home side, as Lazio have only lost one of their 13 top-flight meetings held at this venue (W5, D7, L1).

On the other hand, Torino ran out 1-0 victors at Cagliari last time out, ending a run of five consecutive league draws and moving five points clear of the relegation zone. The visitors have established themselves as ‘stalemate specialists’ this season, drawing a league-high 47.83% of their Serie A fixtures (11/23). Despite entering this clash as betting outsiders, ‘I Granata’ will be confident of at least finding the net after scoring in all but two of their 12 league trips this season. Quite comfortable on the road, Davide Nicola’s men have registered 57.58% of their total Serie A goals scored this term away from home (19/33). A leaky defense could be an issue, though, as only three sides have conceded more away Serie A goals on the road than Torino (22) this season.

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Saturday, February 27, 2021

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid 01/03/21

Atletico Madrid travel to the Estadio de la Cerámica to meet Villarreal, seeking their first La Liga victory at this venue since April 2015.

After winning both of their first two La Liga fixtures since the turn of the year, Villarreal have gone winless in the subsequent six league matches (D5, L1), a sequence that sees them fall 11 points behind fourth-placed Sevilla. ‘El Submarino Amarillo’ have netted under 1.5 goals in four of their last five La Liga games, with four of their five goals scored in that period coming inside the opening 35 minutes of play. Villarreal have established themselves as ‘stalemate specialists’ this season, playing out more draws (13) than any other team in Europe’s top-five leagues. In fact, ten (66.67%) of their last 15 La Liga games have ended level (W3, L2). Curiously, a 2-1 defeat to Real Betis in their last home league outing brought Villarreal’s unbeaten start to their home La Liga campaign to a halt (W5, D6).

Meanwhile, a return of one win from their last four La Liga fixtures (D2, L1) has seen Atletico Madrid stumble at the wrong time, with their lead on second-placed Real Madrid whittling down to three points. Yet, ‘Los Colchoneros’ have not lost any of their last six away league matches (W5, D1), scoring over 1.5 goals in each win. Against this backdrop, Diego Simeone’s men are winless in five consecutive top-flight trips to Villarreal (D2, L3), drawing a blank on three occasions in the process. Winning the first half would optimize Atletico’s chances of snapping that winless streak at the La Cerámica, as they’ve picked up all 30 points available in La Liga when leading at half-time this season (10/10). To support that claim, the visitors can rely on the fact they’ve conceded joint-lowest four first-half goals on the road this La Liga campaign.

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Union Berlin vs TSG Hoffenheim 28/02/21

Stadion An der Alten Försterei is the venue as Union Berlin and TSG Hoffenheim face-off in only their fourth Bundesliga meeting.

Union Berlin ran out 1-0 victors at Freiburg last time out, putting an end to a frustrating five-matches winless streak in the Bundesliga (D2, L3). A genuine lack of firepower in the attacking third continues to trouble the hosts, as they’ve now netted under 1.5 goals in seven consecutive league fixtures, mustering a total of four. Despite recent struggles in front of goal, Union Berlin are one of only five sides to hit double digits in terms of the goals scored in both halves at home this term. Additionally, since succumbing to a 3-1 defeat to Augsburg in their first home league matches of the season, ‘Die Eisernen’ have racked up a ten-game unbeaten Bundesliga run at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei (D4, L6). 

Meanwhile, Hoffenheim head into this encounter on the back of a 2-0 home defeat to Molde that saw them bow out of the UEFA Europa League. In the Bundesliga, however, the visitors have gone from back-to-back losses to two consecutive matches without reverse (W1, D1), with each of those four fixtures producing over 3.5 FT goals. Away from home, Sebastian Hoeneß’s men have only picked up one win in their last four Bundesliga games (D1, L2), conceding 2+ goals in each draw/loss in that sequence. Slow-starting ‘Die Kraichgauer’ have conceded the opening goal in a league joint-high 72.73% of their Bundesliga trips this season (8/11), going on to lose only 50% of such contests (W1, D3, L4). Curiously, each of Hoffenheim’s three top-flight meetings with Union Berlin has yielded a winning/losing margin of at least two goals (W2, L1).

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Roma vs AC Milan 01/03/21

The weekend’s Serie A action concludes at the Stadio Olimpico as Roma take on AC Milan in a high-stake Serie A encounter.

Injury-crippled Roma go into this round on the back of a 3-1 home win over Sporting Braga in the UEFA Europa League midweek. The hosts are now unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions (W3, D1), scoring eight goals while conceding only one in return in that run. Coming into this matchday, ‘I Giallorossi’ have not lost any of their 12 Serie A home games this season (W9, D3) and remain the only team to avoid defeat in each home league outing this term. What’s more, Paulo Fonseca’s men have netted the second-highest 31 Serie A home goals this season, managing an average of 2.38 goals scored per home league match. Roma have only lost one of their last eight top-flight home meetings with Milan (W4, D3), with six of those clashes featuring under 2.5 total goals.

On the other hand, Milan have gone winless in four consecutive games in all competitions since beating Crotone at home earlier this month, alternating between a draw and a loss on each occasion (D2, L2). Worryingly, Stefano Pioli’s men have lost back-to-back league matches ‘to nil’ and now face a risk of losing three in a row without scoring since for the first time since 1967. A dip in form has seen Milan suffer four Serie A defeats since the calendar flipped to 2021, two more than they had in the entire 2020. However, ‘I Rossoneri’ have returned more away points than any other team this Serie A season (28), winning 81.82% of their league trips thus far (GP:11 – W9, D1, L1). Additionally, they have netted over 1.5 goals in ten of their 11 Serie A trips this term, with a 2-0 loss to Spezia in their last away league fixture being the lone exception.

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Leicester City vs Arsenal 28/02/21

Arsenal have a chance to inflict swift revenge for a heartbreaking 1-0 defeat in the reverse Premier League fixture as they face Leicester City at the King Power Stadium.

Leicester shockingly bowed out of the UEFA Europa League last-32 after suffering a 2-0 second-leg loss to Slavia Praha at home. In the Premier League alone, the ‘Foxes’ have gone unbeaten in four matches on the bounce (W3, D1) since losing 3-1 to Leeds United at home, scoring 2+ goals in each success over that stretch of games. Curiously, just one of Leicester’s 12 Premier League fixtures at the King Power Stadium this season has ended in a draw (W6, L5). Brendan Rodgers’ men will be confident of improving their home record as they meet a side they’ve defeated by at least a two-goal margin in each of their last three top-flight encounters held at this venue. The hosts often go rampant in the Premier League following a European midweek, winning six of their seven league matches preceded by a European fixture this season (L1).

Meanwhile, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s 87th-minute winner in midweek propelled Arsenal to the Europa League Round of 16. However, the ‘Gunners’ continue to stutter in the Premier League having picked up only one win in their last five league outings (D1, L3), failing to score on three occasions in the process. Away from home, Mikel Arteta’s men have not drawn any of their previous seven Premier League fixtures (W3, L4), with four of the games won/lost in that period yielding a narrow one-goal margin. It will be a daunting prospect for Arsenal to wrap up all three points here as they have only won 14.3% of their recent top-flight visits to the King Power Stadium (GP:7 – W1, D3, L3). A lack of capacity to bounce back has seen the Londoners lose 81.82% of the Premier League matches in which they conceded the opening goal this season (GP:11 – W1, D1, L9).

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Chelsea vs Manchester United 01/03/21

Chelsea and Manchester United go head-to-head at Stamford Bridge in a massive, heavyweight Premier League showdown.

Chelsea have never ceased to impress under Thomas Tuchel, avoiding defeat in all eight competitive fixtures under the German manager (W6, D2) and keeping a clean sheet on six occasions. However, entertainment has been relatively sparse, with seven of their last eight matches in all competitions featuring under 2.5 FT goals. At home, the ‘Blues’ have only lost one of their previous 11 Premier League games (W6, D4), courtesy of a 3-1 reverse to Manchester City on Matchday 17. Worryingly, though, Chelsea are winless in six consecutive top-flight meetings with Manchester United (D3, L3), drawing a blank in the last three. They now face a risk of failing to score in four Premier League matches in succession against an opponent since April 1960.

Meanwhile, Manchester United have gone unbeaten in five Premier League games in a row (W2, D3) since suffering a 2-1 home loss to Burnley on Matchday 20, scoring over 2.5 goals per match on three occasions in that period. Coming into this fixture, the ‘Red Devils’ are the only team in the Premier League yet to taste defeat on the road this season (GP:12 – W8, D4), with seven of their eight away league victories seeing United come from behind to clinch the three points. By extension, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men have not lost any of their last 19 Premier League away matches (W13, D6), a sequence that started precisely at Stamford Bridge in February 2020. Far more agile after half-time, United have registered 64% of their away league goals scored this term in the second half of play (16/25).

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Olympique Marseille vs Olympique Lyonnais 01/03/21

Olympique Marseille and Olympique Lyonnais go head-to-head at the Stade Vélodrome in one of the most highly anticipated fixtures on the Ligue 1 football schedule.

A 3-1 home triumph against Montpellier to kick-start the new calendar year has sparked Marseille’s hopes of landing a top-three finish. However, ‘Les Phocéens’ have since stuttered, wrapping up just a single win in the subsequent eight Ligue 1 outings (D4, L4). None of Marseille’s five league home matches in 2021 have ended in a draw (W2, L3), with each game won/lost in that period seeing the victor get on the scoresheet. In turn, none of the last three top-flight meetings between ‘Les Olympiens’ and Lyon at this venue have ended level (W1, L2), with each of them featuring over 2.5 FT goals. Worryingly, a lack of the capacity to bounce back has seen Andre Villas-Boas’ side fail to win in any of the eight Ligue 1 home games in which they shipped the opener (D3, L5).

Meanwhile, the visitors have won five of their previous six Ligue 1 games (L1), including a 3-2 away victory at Brest last time out. Away from home, Lyon are unbeaten in 11 Ligue 1 matches on the bounce (W8, D3), scoring over 1.5 goals in 54.55% of those fixtures. Rudi Garcia’s men have been scoring practically at will on the road, netting a league-high 26 away goals so far. Starting well is a priority, especially given ‘Les Gones’ have won 100% of their away Ligue 1 games in which they’ve been leading at half-time times season (7/7). That may not be as daunting as it may look at first glance, considering Lyon have not conceded a single goal inside the opening 15 minutes of play across their 13 league trips this term.

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Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers 28/02/21

Newcastle United and Wolverhampton Wanderers go head-to-head at St. James’ Park in a lower-half-of-the-table Premier League showdown.

It’s been ‘all or nothing’ for Newcastle in the Premier League since the calendar flipped to 2021 (GP: 10 – W2, L8), with nine of the ten games won/lost in that period seeing the victor score over 1.5 goals. The ‘clean-sheet’ theme remains significant in the context of Newcastle’s preceding Premier League matches, as seven (58.33%) of the last 12 have seen one or both sides fail to get on the scoresheet. Against this backdrop, each of their previous four home league fixtures has featured over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring (W1, L3), with each defeat in that sequence yielding the identical 2-1 scoreline. To keep their hopes of winning alive, the ‘Magpies’ will have to avoid conceding the opening goal – Steve Bruce’s men have failed to complete a turnaround in any of their 14 Premier League games in which they shipped the opener this term (D3, L11).

On the other hand, Wolves are unbeaten in four Premier League matches in a row (W3, D1), with the deciding goal in each of those wins coming in the second half while two of those successes seeing the ‘Wanderers’ come from behind to claim all three points. Wolverhampton’s recent away league games have been notably tight, though, as nine of the last ten have seen the sides separated at full time by under 1.5 goals (W3, D2, L5). Nuno Espirito Santo’s men have lacked urgency in the final third after the half-time break this season, netting a league second-low four second-half goals away from home. Topically, they have only got on the scoresheet once inside the final 15 minutes of play across their 12 Premier League trips so far. Encouragingly, however, Wolves have avoided defeat in their last three top-flight meetings with Newcastle at St. James’ Park (W1, D2).

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Manchester City vs West Ham United 27/02/21

Rampage Manchester City side welcome high-flying West Ham United to the Etihad Stadium for an exciting Premier League showdown.

A 2-0 away win against Borussia Monchengladbach in the UEFA Champions League midweek saw Manchester City stretch their winning streak in all competitions to 19 games. In the Premier League alone, Pep Guardiola’s men have racked up 13 consecutive victories, building a ten-point lead on the chasing pack in the process. The Spaniard’s massive investments in his backline have paid off a great deal, as the ‘Sky Blues’ enter the round as the Premier League’s best defense (15 goals conceded), keeping a clean sheet in a league-high 60% of their fixtures this season. At home, Manchester City are unbeaten in 15 matches in all competitions (W13, D2), winning the last seven by an aggregate score of 16-0. Furthermore, the runaway Premier League leaders have won ten of their previous 11 top-flight H2Hs as hosts (L1), scoring over 1.5 goals in all but two of those meetings.

Meanwhile, West Ham have gone unbeaten in four Premier League games on the bounce (W3, D1) since losing 3-1 to Liverpool at home on Matchday 21, a sequence that sees them climb to fourth in the standings. Additionally, the ‘Hammers’ have not lost any of their last five away league fixtures (W3, D2), registering a shutout three times in the process. In fact, only four sides have shipped fewer away goals in the Premier League this season than West Ham (14). At the other end of the pitch, the visitors have managed an average of 1.5 goals per league trip, registering a clear majority (61.11%) of their total Premier League goals scored on the road in the second half of play (11/18). Notably, David Moyes’ men have only failed to score once in nine Premier League matches since the calendar flipped to 2021, netting 2+ goals on six occasions.

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Getafe vs Valencia 28/02/21

Valencia head to the Coliseum Alfonso Perez to take on Getafe, looking to post back-to-back wins for the first time this La Liga campaign.

Getafe have compromised their chances of avoiding relegation after losing five of their last six La Liga fixtures (D1), a sequence that sees them drop to only three points clear of 18th-placed Elche. A genuine lack of firepower in the attacking third has seen ‘El Geta’ draw a blank in five consecutive league matches ahead of this clash. In fact, no side has netted fewer La Liga goals than ‘Los Azulones’ (17) this season, with Jose Bordalas’ men remaining one of just two teams yet to hit double digits in terms of the goals scored at home (9). On the flip side, they have notched up over 1.5 goals in each of their last three top-flight meetings with Valencia, averaging 2.66 goals per match in the process.

Meanwhile, the visitors have picked up two victories in their last four La Liga outings (D1, L1), as many as they had in their previous 12 matches in the competition (D6, L4). However, Valencia have only won once in their last ten away league games (D4, L5), with that lone success coming at the expense of relegation-threatened Real Valladolid on January 10. Additionally, ‘Los Murciélagos’ have frequently struggled in front of goal recently, netting under 1.5 goals in each of their last five La Liga trips. Particularly toothless before half-time, Javi Garcia’s men have registered only 33.33% of their total league goals scored away from home in the first half of play (4/12). Adding to this misery, Valencia have failed to find the net in three of their last four competitive trips to Getafe.

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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach 28/02/21

Red Bull Arena is the venue, as RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach go head-to-head in an exciting Bundesliga match-up.

Leipzig thumped Hertha BSC 3-0 on the road last time out to extend their winning run in the Bundesliga to four matches and stay within a two-point distance from top-placed Bayern Munich. Julian Nagelsmann’s rock-solid defense has kept a clean sheet in three of their last four Bundesliga outings, which has been the case in three of their previous six top-flight meetings with Gladbach. Overall this season, ‘Die Roten Bullen’ have registered a shutout in a league-high 50% of their Bundesliga fixtures (11/22), conceding the division-fewest 18 goals in the process. Notably, Leipzig boast the best win-ratio of 81.82% on home soil this Bundesliga season, having dropped the points in just two of their 11 league matches at the Red Bull Arena (W9, D1, L1). Furthermore, they have won all nine Bundesliga games in which they’ve been in front at half-time this term.

Meanwhile, a 2-0 loss to Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League midweek means Borussia Monchengladbach enter this fixture on a four-game winless streak in all competitions (D1, L3). In the Bundesliga alone, ‘Die Fohlen’ have failed to land all three points in any of their last four matches (D2, L2), scoring one goal or less on each occasion. Though unbeaten in six away Bundesliga games on the trot, Marco Rose’s men have drawn five of those clashes (W1) despite conceding the opening goal only once. However, Gladbach have failed to beat Leipzig in any of their four top-flight meetings at the Red Bull Arena (D1, L3), conceding precisely twice per match in the last three. In fact, the visitors’ win-ratio of just 11% against this opponent is lower than against any other side in the Bundesliga history.

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Internazionale vs Genoa 28/02/21

Internazionale will be looking to build on a commanding 3-0 Serie A win against AC Milan last weekend when they meet resurgent Genoa at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

A 2-1 away defeat at Sampdoria on Matchday 16 seems to have been a wake-up call for Inter, who have since racked up a seven-match unbeaten streak in Serie A (W5, D2) to leapfrog cross-town rivals AC Milan at the summit. Free-scoring ‘Nerazzurri’ have netted an average of 3.00 goals per game across their last four Serie A outings, finding the net in both halves on each occasion. Remarkably, Antonio Conte’s men have scored the division-high 32 goals at home this league campaign, with 68.75% (22) of those goals coming in the second half of play. Inter must be confident of maintaining their imperious form against a side they have not lost to in any of their 13 top-flight H2Hs as hosts in the 21st century (W11, D2), winning each of their last five such meetings ‘to nil.’

Meanwhile, Genoa enjoy an impressive spell of their own, as they take the field after avoiding defeat in each of their last seven Serie A fixtures (W4, D3), notching up 2+ goals in 57.14% of the games in that sequence. Away from home, ‘Il Grifone’ have kept three consecutive Serie A clean sheets after conceding at least once in their previous six top-flight trips. Adding to this sentiment, Davide Ballardini’s men have conceded joint-fewest league goals since the calendar flipped to 2021 (6). However, a lack of firepower up front has seen Genoa score a league-fewest eight away goals this season after drawing a blank in 57.14% of their Serie A trips so far. Slow-starting visitors have shipped the opening goal in 56.52% of their league matches this term and went on to lose 69.23% of such contests.

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Hellas Verona vs Juventus 28/02/21

Juventus’ elusive pursuit of Serie A leaders Internazionale continues this weekend as the perennial Italian champions head to the Stadio Marc’Antonio Bentegodi to tackle Hellas Verona.

The hosts are searching for consistency after returning two wins from their last five Serie A games (D1, L2), four of which saw over 2.5 goals and both teams on the scoresheet. At home, however, ‘I Gialloblu’ have enjoyed a notable upturn in form, going from four straight league fixtures without winning (D1, L3) to three victories in a row, with each result (win/loss) over that stretch of matches seeing the victor concede precisely once. Verona’s hopes of avoiding defeat may well hinge on their first-half display, as Ivan Juric’s men have not lost any of the six Serie A games in which they’ve been leading at half-time this season (W3, D3). Easier said than done, as Hellas have only managed a league fourth-low four first-half goals scored at home this Serie A campaign.

Meanwhile, Juventus have not drawn any of their nine Serie A fixtures since the turn of 2021 (W7, L2), with eight of those results (win/loss) seeing the sides separated at full-time by at least two goals. Notably, each of Juve’s previous nine league victories has yielded a winning margin of over 1.5 goals, with the last four also producing a clean sheet. Away from home, Andrea Pirlo’s men have alternated between a win and a defeat in their last four Serie A matches, three of which saw the victor register a shutout. Given Juventus’ footballing stature, it may come as some surprise that they have only picked up one triumph in their last six top-flight trips to Verona (D3, L2), conceding precisely twice per game on five occasions in that period.

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Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Leeds United vs Aston Villa 28/02/21

With just a point separating the sides ahead of the kick-off, Leeds United (35) and Aston Villa (36) face off at Elland Road in a mid-table Premier League clash.

A 3-0 dispatching of Southampton in the Premier League midweek means that none of Leeds’ last 16 league matches have ended in a draw (W8, L8), with precisely half (8) of the results (win/loss) in that period seeing the winner on the day keep a clean sheet. At home, the ‘Whites’ have gone from two consecutive Premier League defeats to back-to-back victories, both of which came by over 1.5 goals ‘to nil.’ Marcelo Bielsa’s men will be confident of maintaining their home form against a side they’ve not lost to in any of their last six competitive meetings at Elland Road (W2, D4). Curiously, three of the four draws across that six-game sequence yielded the identical 1-1 scoreline, with Leeds being pegged back after breaking the deadlock on each occasion.

Meanwhile, a lack of firepower in the final third has seen Aston Villa net under 1.5 goals in each of their last Premier League outings (W2, D1, L2), losing ground on the top-four in the process. In turn, the ‘Clartes’ have scored one goal or less in five of their last six away league matches, picking up just a single triumph over that stretch of fixtures (D2, L3). At the other end of the pitch, Dean Smith’s men have kept a clean sheet in a league-high 58.33% of their Premier League trips this season. However, lapses of concentration after half-time have seen Aston Villa register a clear majority (70%) of their total Premier League goals conceded on the road in the second half of play (7/10).

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Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld 27/02/21

Signal Iduna Park is the venue, as Borussia Dortmund take on relegation-threatened Arminia Bielefeld, looking to claim back-to-back Bundesliga wins for the first time since the beginning of 2021.

Borussia Dortmund have accrued a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three Bundesliga matches, all of which featured over 1.5 second-half goals. Sitting six points adrift of fourth-placed Eintracht Frankfurt, ‘Die Borussen’ must start picking up the pace, and a four-game unbeaten league streak at home (W2, D2) is handy coming into this fixture. Edin Terzic’s men have scored over 1.5 goals per game in three of their last four Bundesliga home outings, which has been the case in four of their previous five top-flight meetings with Bielefeld. The hosts often step up after the half-time break, notably registering 72.73% of their total Bundesliga goals scored at home this term in the second half of play (16/22). Indeed, Dortmund have found the net beyond the 75th minute in 60% of their home league games this season.

In the meantime, Arminia Bielefeld have gone winless in four Bundesliga matches on the trot (D1, L3) since beating Stuttgart 3-0 on Matchday 17, conceding over 2.5 goals on each occasion in that run of fixtures. ‘Die Arminen’ have shipped 14 goals across their last four Bundesliga games, as many as they managed in the previous 11 outings in the competition. At the other end of the pitch, Uwe Neuhaus’ men remain one of only three sides yet to smash a 10-goal barrier away from home this Bundesliga campaign (8 goals scored) after netting a league-low two first-half road goals. Worryingly, Bielefeld have established a habit of falling behind without recovering, surrendering the points in all 13 Bundesliga matches in which they conceded the opening goal this term (L13)!

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Bayern Munich vs Koln 27/02/21

Fresh from thumping Lazio 4-1 in the UEFA Champions League midweek, Bayern Munich will be looking to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga when they meet Koln at the Allianz Arena this weekend.

In the Bundesliga, Bayern Munich have endured a dip in form, going from five consecutive victories to back-to-back matches without winning (D1, L1), as they enter this round harboring a two-point lead on second-placed RB Leipzig. However, the reigning German champions have been flawless at home this season, avoiding defeat in all ten Bundesliga fixtures at the Allianz Arena (W7, D3) and returning a staggering +22 goal difference from those contests (GF:37, GA:15). Bayern’s attacking potential often sparks into life after half-time, as evidenced by the fact that 25 (67.57%) of their 37 league goals scored at home this term have arrived in the second half of play. Against Koln, it’s not a matter of if but how many, given four of their last six top-flight H2Hs held at this venue have seen Hansi Flick’s side secure a winning margin of at least three goals.

Meanwhile, Koln’s relegation tussle has suffered a couple of setbacks lately, with the visitors going from back-to-back Bundesliga loss to two straight defeats, both of which came ‘to nil.’ Sitting just three points clear of the relegation zone, ‘Die Geißböcke’ have alternated between a win and a loss across their last five league trips (W2, L3). Interestingly, both of Koln’s victories in the abovementioned five-match sequence yielded the identical 2-1 scoreline, while all three defeats saw them fail to get on the scoresheet and concede over 1.5 goals. Markus Gisdol’s men often lose momentum in the second half, recording a clear majority (62.5%) of their total Bundesliga goals conceded away from home this season after half-time (10/16). It’s also worth noting that Koln have failed to score in both of their away top-flight games against the sides currently occupying the top-four spots.

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Werder Bremen vs Eintracht Frankfurt 27/02/21

High-flying Eintracht Frankfurt travel to the Weserstadion to take on out-of-sorts Werder Bremen in an exciting Bundesliga match-up.

Werder have only won two of their eight Bundesliga matches since the calendar flipped to 2021 (D3, L3), with 62.5% of those games seeing one or both sides fail to get on the scoresheet. ‘Die Werderaner’ have faltered at home this season, sealing just two victories in ten Bundesliga fixtures at Weserstadion (D4, L4) and bagging under 1.5 goals nine times in the process. Ahead of the kick-off, Werder remain one of only two German sides yet to hit double digits in terms of the goals scored at home (9), frustratingly registering a league second-low three first-half home goals netted. Against this backdrop, Florian Kohfeldt’s men have notched up precisely two goals per game in two of their last three top-flight H2Hs as hosts (W1, D1, L1).

Meanwhile, Frankfurt’s 2-1 home triumph against league-leaders Bayern Munich last time out extended their winning run in the Bundesliga to five matches. Notably, no team has returned more Bundesliga points than Eintracht (25) since the turn of 2021, with Adi Hutter’s men only dropping points in a 2-2 away draw with Freiburg on Matchday 17. By extension, ‘Die Adler’ are unbeaten in 11 consecutive top-flight fixtures (W9, D2), scoring 2+ goals on each occasion in the process. Topically, only three sides have netted more goals on the road than Frankfurt (24) this Bundesliga campaign, with ‘Launische Diva’ firing in the division third-high 13 second-half away goals. The visitors are likely to add to their impressive tally now, as they take on a team they’ve scored over 1.5 goals against in each of their last four Bundesliga meetings held at this venue

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Roma vs Sporting Braga 26/02/21

Roma and Sporting Braga go head-to-head at the Stadio Olimpico in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League last-32 tie.

A 2-0 first-leg win in Portugal has laid the foundation for Roma to reach the Europa League last-16 in the fourth successive attempt. ‘I Giallorossi’ have been relentless at home this Europa League campaign (W2, D1), returning a +7 goal difference from their three group-stage home matches (GF:8, GA:1). Far more dangerous after half-time, Paulo Fonseca’s men have notched up 60% of their total Europa League goals scored this season in the second half of play (9/15), getting on the scoresheet beyond the 80th minute in three of their eight outings in the competition. Adding to their confidence, Roma have won four of their last six UEFA meetings with Portuguese visitors at Stadio Olimpico (D1, L1). What’s more, they have only suffered one defeat in their previous 18 home fixtures in major European competitions (W13, D4)!

Roma exposed Braga’s defensive woes in the first leg, putting two past the Portuguese side to bring their tally to 12 goals conceded this Europa League campaign. ‘Os Arcebispos’ have shipped over 1.5 goals in four of their seven Europa League outings this term, recording 43.75% of their total goals conceded in the competition beyond the 65-minute mark. Carlos Carvalhal’s men have lost each of their last four away games in the Europa League knock-out stages, drawing a blank on three occasions in that run of fixtures. Furthermore, Braga have only won once in their previous four continental trips to Italy (D1, L2), with each of those meetings featuring a full-time margin of under 1.5 goals. The ‘clean-sheet’ theme remains significant in the context of Braga’s recent away fortunes, as each of their last five competitive matches on the road has seen the victor register a shutout (W2, L3). 

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Villarreal vs RB Salzburg 26/02/21

Villarreal hold a two-goal goal advantage going into the return leg of their UEFA Europa League last-32 tie against RB Salzburg at the Estadio de la Ceramica.

Unai Emery’s men were flawless in the group stage, breezing through as Group I winners with an almost perfect record of five wins and a draw and a whopping +12 goal difference (GF:17, GA:5). The first-leg triumph in Austria puts ‘El Submarino Amarillo’ in a prime position to reach the Round of 16, as they’ve successfully negotiated each of their previous four Europa League ties when winning the first leg away from home. Villarreal have played hosts to RB Salzburg in major European competition twice before (W1, L1), with each result yielding a narrow one-goal margin. Worryingly, though, the Spanish giants have only picked up one victory in their last five home matches in the Europa League knock-out stages (D1, L3), scoring under 1.5 goals on four occasions in that stretch of games.

Meanwhile, Salzburg have joined the Europa League last-32 after finishing third to the likes of Bayern Munich and Atletico Madrid in their UEFA Champions League group. A 2-0 first-leg defeat means ‘Die Roten Bullen’ have conceded over 1.5 goals in six of their seven European fixtures this season, qualifying excluded. Going back to the 2011/12 campaign, Salzburg have faced Spanish opposition in various European competitions on eight occasions, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of those meetings (W1, D2, L5). Topically, they have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last four UEFA trips to Spain. In the Europa League alone, Jesse Marsch’s men have lost each of their last three away matches, returning a -7 goal difference from those trips (GF:2, GA:9).

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Rennes vs Nice 27/02/21

The weekend action in Ligue 1 gets underway at Roazhon Park, as Rennes face Nice in a clash of the two out-of-form sides.

Rennes have gone winless in five Ligue 1 games on the bounce (D2, L3) since picking up a 2-1 victory away at Brest on Matchday 20, a sequence that sees them drop to eighth in the table. At home, ‘Les Rennais’ have alternated a draw with a loss across their last four league outings, scoring under 1.5 goals on four occasions over that stretch of matches. Therefore, Nice’s visit comes at the worst possible moment, as Julien Stephan’s men have failed to win any of their last five top-flight H2Hs as hosts (D2, L3). While two of those meetings featured the identical 0-0 scoreline, the other three have seen over 2.5 goals and both teams on the scoresheet. Slow-starting Rennes have conceded the opening goal in 61.54% of their Ligue 1 home fixtures this season, notably rescuing a league-high ten points from such contests (GP:8 – W3, D1, L4).

Coming into this matchday, the visitors have suffered three consecutive Ligue 1 defeats, which means they have not lost five of their last six league outings (W1). Nice’s recent top-flight matches have been very tight, as six of the last seven have seen the teams separated at full-time by a narrow one-goal margin (W2, L5). A lack of consistency has witnessed ‘Los Aiglons’ endure mixed fortunes in their 13 trips this Ligue 1 campaign (W5, D3, L5), with 60% of the games won/lost in that sequence seeing a winning/losing margin of over 1.5 goals. Interestingly, Adrian Ursea’s men have avoided defeat in each of the six away league matches in which they opened the scoring this term (W5, D1), but each of the five trips where they fell behind, they lost.

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Levante vs Athletic Club 27/02/21

Levante and Athletic Bilbao come face-to-face at the Estadi Ciutat de València in a mid-table La Liga showdown.

Levante managed a stunning 2-0 victory away at Atletico Madrid last time out, bringing a three-game winless La Liga streak to a halt (D2, L1). The hosts’ form has taken an upswing since a 2-1 away loss to Villarreal in their first La Liga fixture in 2021, with the ‘Granotas’ only suffering one defeat in the subsequent eight league matches (W3, D4). Notably, Paco Lopez’s men have only lost once in their 11 La Liga home games (W4, D6) since succumbing to a 2-0 reverse to Real Madrid in their first home league match of the season. Curiously, over a third (36.36%) of their last 11 top-flight games at Ciutat de València have yielded the identical 1-1 scoreline. However, a draw is a seemingly unlikely outcome here, as only one of their last ten La Liga H2Hs at this venue has ended level (W3, L6).

In the meantime, the visitors have endured mixed fortunes across their seven La Liga outings this calendar year (W3, D2, L2), with three of the games won/lost in that period producing over 3.5 total goals. Athletic Club claimed a convincing 4-0 win against newly-promoted Cadiz in their last La Liga trip to put an end to a dismal eight-game winless away league run (D3, L5). Before putting four past Cadiz, ‘Los Leones’ had netted under 1.5 goals in seven of their previous eight La Liga trips. However, Levante could be the right opposition to help Marcelino Garcia Toral’s men score 2+ goals in consecutive away league fixtures for the first time this season, as they’ve bagged over 1.5 goals in five of their last six top-flight H2Hs on the road. Coming into this matchday, Athletic are one of only two teams to keep a clean sheet inside the first 15 minutes of play in each of their 11 La Liga visits this season.

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Young Boys 26/02/21

After a seven-goal epic in Switzerland last week, the stakes will be high for Bayer Leverkusen and Young Boys, as they meet at BayArena in the return leg of their UEFA Europa League last-32 tie.

A 4-3 defeat in a seven-goal thriller last week leaves Bayer Leverkusen with plenty of room for maneuver as they look to qualify for the Europa League Round of 16 for the second season running. However, Peter Bosz’s men are currently on a worrying three-game winless run in all competitions (D2, L1) and have only won one of their last seven competitive matches (D2, L4). ‘Die Werkself’ can always rely on their impressive home form in Europe that has seen them win each of their last five Europa League fixtures at BayArena, scoring 14 goals while conceding just three in return over that stretch of games. Additionally, Leverkusen boast a 100% win-record against Swiss opponents at home, having outplayed Sion and FC Zurich in their only previous home meetings with such opposition.

Meanwhile, Young Boys will be looking to defy the recent trend in UEFA competitions that has seen the last four sides that had won the first-leg at home ‘to three’ fail to progress to the next round. A return of eight victories from nine competitive matches (D1) since the calendar flipped to 2021 is handy coming into this matchday, especially given their lackluster away form this Europa League campaign (W1, D1, L1). Yet, a trip to Germany could stir some unpleasant memories, as the Swiss giants have lost their last three visits to the country by an aggregate scoreline of 13-3! Motivation will be high for Young Boys, nonetheless, as they’ve only reached this stage of the competition for the third time in the club’s history, failing to make it to the last-16 in both previous attempts.

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Manchester United vs Real Sociedad 26/02/21

Old Trafford is the venue, as Manchester United and Real Sociedad come face-to-face in the return leg of their UEFA Europa League last-32 tie.

Manchester United are on the verge of securing their fifth appearance in the Europa League last-16 in as many attempts after walloping Sociedad 4-0 in the reverse fixture. Notably, the ‘Red Devils’ have successfully negotiated each of their 18 UEFA ties in which they won the first leg away from home. Additionally, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men are undefeated in their last 14 home matches in the Europa League (W12, D2), returning a staggering +31 goal difference from that stretch of games (GF:37, GA:6). Curiously, though, before winning in Turin, Manchester United had gone winless in nine European meetings with La Liga sides. Topically, they have only won one of their last nine UEFA fixtures versus Spanish visitors at Old Trafford (D4, L4), though that lone success came against Real Sociedad in the 2013/14 UEFA Champions League group stage.

Meanwhile, for Real Sociedad, goals have been at a premium this Europa League campaign, as they’ve netted under 1.5 goals in six of their seven outings in the competition. In fact, Sociedad’s tally of only five goals scored is the lowest among the teams that came through the group phase. Interestingly, both of their European goals scored away from home this season have arrived beyond the 90th minute. Going back to November 2020, Real Sociedad have only won two of their 11 away matches in all competitions (D5, L3), notching up one goal or less on nine occasions in that span. Imanol Alguacil can find some confidence in the fact his men have avoided defeat in all three Europa League trips this term (W1, D2), keeping a clean sheet twice in the process.

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Leicester City vs Slavia Praha 26/02/21

The UEFA Europa League last-32 tie between Leicester City and Slavia Praha goes down to the wire, as the two sides lock horns in a crunch meeting at the King Power Stadium. A first-leg draw in the Czech Republic leaves both sides with everything to play for in the return leg.

Leicester secured a springtime in European competition in only their fifth UEFA campaign in remarkable fashion, claiming a spot in the knock-out stages with two games to spare. Except for a narrow 1-0 loss away at Zorya on Matchday 5, the ‘Foxes’ scored over 1.5 goals per game in each of their remaining five group-stage fixtures. Notably, Brendan Rodgers’ men have won all three Europa League home matches this season by over 1.5 goals ‘to nil.’ By extension, Leicester have not lost any of their nine European fixtures on home soil (W7, D2) since succumbing to a 2-0 reverse to Atletico Madrid in the 1997/98 UEFA Cup. It was also the only time they had failed to find the net in a European home match, notably getting on the scoresheet in all of the other 11 such contests.

On the other hand, Slavia finished runners-up to Bayer Leverkusen in Group C after winning four group-stage fixtures on the trot from Matchday 2 to Matchday 5 (L2). Interestingly, all of their three Europa League trips this term have featured over 3.5 FT goals (W1, L2), with two of those results (win/loss) yielding the identical 3-1 scoreline. Away from home, Slavia have only picked up two victories in their last ten European matches (D3, L5), worryingly losing 46.67% of their overall Europa League trips (GP:15 – W4, D4, L7). Adding to a long list of problems, the ‘Červenobílí’ have failed to overcome English opponents in all four two-legged knock-out ties, losing eight of their last 12 European clashes against such opposition (W1, D3).

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Tuesday, February 23, 2021

Rangers vs Antwerp 26/02/21

Antwerp have a mountain to climb at Ibrox Stadium after suffering a 4-3 walloping to Rangers in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League last-32 tie.

Rangers executed an impressive group-stage campaign in autumn, finishing top of Group D without a single loss (W4, D2), two points clear of second-placed Benfica. Steven Gerrard’s men made it three wins in successive Europa League rounds with a thrilling first-leg win in Belgium, meaning they have now scored over 1.5 goals per game in five consecutive outings in the competition. Connoisseurs of action-packed football must be expecting another goals-galore, as four of Rangers’ seven Europa League fixtures this season have seen over 3.5 goals and both teams scoring. Rangers have one foot in the round of 16, especially considering they have progressed in all 18 UEFA ties in which they won the first leg away from home. Additionally, the ‘Gers’ have only lost one of their nine UEFA European meetings with Belgium opponents (W7, D1).

On the other hand, none of Antwerp’s seven Europa League matches this season have ended in a draw (W4, L3), with four of the games won/lost seeing the victor keep a clean sheet. The Belgian side secured their first springtime in Europe since the 1992/93 campaign, finishing second to Tottenham Hotspur in Group J. Curiously, before claiming a 2-1 win at Ludogorets in their Europa League curtain-raiser, the ‘Great Old’ had gone winless in seven away European matches on the bounce (D3, L4), a span that stretched back to 1992. Moreover, Antwerp have bowed out in all three European ties that saw them lose the first leg at home, though their last such contest dates back to 1994/95. But, François Vercauteren’s men will be confident of getting on the scoresheet after scoring in five consecutive road trips in all competitions going into this fixture.

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Napoli vs Granada 26/02/21

Granada have a two-goal edge as they travel to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona to meet Napoli in the return leg of their UEFA Europa Leauge last-32 tie.

Napoli topped their section in a true ‘Italian’ style in the autumn, avoiding defeat in five Group F fixtures in a row (W3, D2) after succumbing to a 1-0 home loss to AZ Alkmaar on Matchday 1. Entertainment has been sparse, as only one of Napoli’s seven Europa League matches his season has featured over 2.5 goals. Worryingly, ‘I Partenopei’ have failed to win any of their last five UEFA European matches against visitors from Spain (D4, L1). Moreover, they have only wrapped up two victories in their seven previous home games in the Europa League knock-out stages (D3, L2). Gennaro Gattuso cannot find much comfort in Napoli’s recent form either, as his men have lost four of their last five competitive fixtures (W1), conceding over 1.5 goals in each defeat over that stretch of games.

In the meantime, a 2-0 first-leg win in Spain puts Granada in a prime position to reach the Europa League Round of 16 in their maiden European competition. Remarkably, the ‘Nazaries’ have not lost any of their five away continental fixtures this season (W4, D1), qualifying included. What’s more, Diego Martinez’s men have kept a clean sheet in three of those five European trips, conceding precisely once per match in the other two. As ever, starting well is a priority, as five of Granada’s seven games this Europa League campaign have seen one or both sides fail to find the back of the net. But, the Spanish minnows have experienced some rough time on the road lately, winning only one of their last five competitive away matches (D2, L2), conceding 2+ goals on four occasions in that period.

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Arsenal vs Benfica 26/02/21

A 1-1 draw in the first leg leaves Arsenal and Benfica with everything to play for going into the return leg of their UEFA Europa League last-32 tie at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.

Arsenal come into this encounter on the back of a 1-0 home loss to Manchester City in the Premier League, which means they have only won once in their last six competitive matches (D2, L3), drawing a blank on three occasions in that period. However, the ‘Gunners’ have been relentless against Portuguese sides lately, winning five of their last six home games against such opponents (D1) and scoring a total of 20 goals in the process. Experienced European campaigners, Arsenal boast a decent Europa League record at home (W15, D3, L3) and have progressed in four of the six UEFA ties in which they have drawn the first leg. Moreover, before last season’s defeat at the hands of Olympiacos, Mikel Arteta’s men have gone unbeaten in seven consecutive home matches in the competition’s knock-out stages (W6, D1).

Meanwhile, Benfica take the field after drawing three consecutive games in all competitions despite scoring the opener on two occasions in that sequence. Topically, four of Benfica’s seven Europa League fixtures this season have ended level, with ‘As Águias’ winning the remaining three by multiple-goal margins. Indeed, Jorge Jesus’ men tend to win with dignity, as they’ve netted 3+ goals in each of their three Europa League successes this term, mustering over 1.5 second-half goals on each occasion. However, the Portuguese giants have often faltered outside their homeland in recent times, losing 12 (54.55%) of their last 22 continental trips while winning only four of the other ten (D6). Worryingly, Benfica have only picked up 11 wins in their 37 UEFA meetings with English adversaries, losing 12 of their last 18 matches versus such opponents on foreign soil (W4, D2).

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Ajax vs. Lille 26/02/21

A 2-1 win in France puts Ajax in a prime position to land a spot in the UEFA Europa League last-16, as they prepare to welcome Lille to the Johan Cruijff Arena for the return leg of their last-32 tie.

Since exiting the UEFA Champions League back in December 2020, Ajax have turned into a force to be reckoned with, racking up an impressive 15-game unbeaten run in all competitions (W13, D2) and winning each of their last ten competitive outings. Free-scoring Dutch giants have netted over 1.5 goals in six of their last seven home games (W6, D1), managing an average of 3.00 goals per match over that stretch of fixtures. Ajax’s European contests have been notably tight this season, as six of seven have seen the teams separated at full-time by under 1.5 goals (W3, D1, L3). Yet, Erik ten Hag’s men have won each of their last seven home games in the Europa League group stages. Adding to their confidence, ‘de Godenzonen’ have only suffered one defeat in their previous seven European meetings with French oppositions (W4, D2, L1), qualifying included.

Meanwhile, a home loss to Ajax in the reverse fixture represents Lille’s lone failure across their last ten outings in all competitions (W8, D1). The ‘clean-sheet’ theme is well on the cards, as seven of their previous ten competitive matches have seen one or both sides fail to get on the scoresheet. On the flip side, though, each of Lille’s three European trips this season has seen the winner on the day score over 2.5 goals (W2, L1), with only one of those results (win/loss) returning a blank sheet. ‘Les Dogues’ historically struggle away from home in the Europa League, as witnessed by the fact they have only won a third (3) of their 15 road trips in the competitions (D5, L7). That said, they have lost all three of their UEFA European meetings with Ajax this millennium, conceding 2+ goals on each occasion.

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Atalanta vs. Real Madrid 25/02/21

With momentum swinging in their way, Real Madrid travel to the Gewiss Stadium to take on Atalanta in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League last-16 tie.

Atalanta executed a decent Champions League group-stage campaign, finishing runners-up to Liverpool in Group D with a single loss from six matches (W3, D2). Curiously, though, ‘La Dea’ have progressed to the knock-out phase as the only side yet to win a home game this Champions League season (D2, L1). But, it’s been just one defeat in 18 competitive fixtures for Atalanta (W11, D6) since the group stage ended, with Gian Piero Gasperini’s men winning their last three outings by an aggregate scoreline of 8-3. The Serie A giants often step on the gas after half-time, as evidenced by the fact seven of their ten goals scored this Champions League campaign have come in the second half of play. Notably, Atalanta have won both of their only previous UEFA European clashes against Spanish opponents by an aggregate score of 8-4.

Meanwhile, Real Madrid progressed as Group B winners despite failing to win both of their opening Champions League games (D1, L1). Away from home, ‘Los Blancos’ have accrued a win, a draw, and a loss in their three European games this season, with both matches won/lost yielding the identical 2-0 scoreline. Remarkably, the reigning La Liga champions have won each of their last five Champions League games versus Italian hosts, scoring 12 goals while conceding only one in return. Additionally, Real Madrid will be confident of getting on the scoresheet after hitting the net in each of their last 19 European encounters with Serie A sides! Coming into this fixture, Zinedine Zidane’s men have won four consecutive games in all competitions, registering a shutout in each of the last three.

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Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Manchester City 25/02/21

Borussia Monchengladbach’s first appearance in the UEFA Champions League knock-out stage after 43 years sets up an exciting last-16 tie against Manchester City. The overall head-to-head record between the two at Borussia-Park is perfectly balanced, with one win each and a draw.

Borussia Monchengladbach put up a string of impressive performances to finish second to Real Madrid in Group B, leaving the likes of Inter Milan and Shakhtar Donetsk behind along the way. Yet, ‘Die Fohlen’ have lost both of their previous Champions League matches, conceding 2+ goals on each occasion. Additionally, they have only picked up two victories in their nine Champions League home fixtures (D4, L3) and are winless in four meetings with Manchester City in the competition (D1, L3). Encouragingly, though, Marco Rose’s men have found the net in each of their nine Champions League home outings, netting over 1.5 goals in each such fixture this season. Coming into this encounter, Monchengladbach have experienced a dip in form, going from three consecutive home wins in all competitions to back-to-back defeats, both of which arrived by the identical 2-1 scoreline.

In the meantime, Manchester City surged through Group C, finishing top of the section with a record of five wins and a draw and returning an insane +12 goal difference in the process (GF:13, GA:1). Notably, City’s tally of one goal conceded this Champions League season is second to none, with Pep Guardiola’s men keeping a clean sheet in each of their three road trips in the competition so far. The ‘Sky Blues’ have faced German opponents in major European tournaments on 23 occasions in the past, winning 56.52% (13) of those meetings (D3, L7) and scoring an average of 2.08 goals per game. What’s more, Manchester City have won their last three away matches in the Champions League last-16, netting 2+ goals in each victory. Ahead of the kick-off, they have won 18 consecutive games in all competitions, shutting out their rivals 12 times in the process.

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Monday, February 22, 2021

Tottenham Hotspur vs Wolfsberger 25 /02/21

Tottenham Hotspur’s 4-1 win against Wolfsberger in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League last-32 tie means the return leg at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium should be a mere formality.

Except for a narrow 1-0 away loss at Antwerp on Matchday 2, Tottenham have avoided defeat in each of their remaining six Europa League matches this season (W5, D1), returning a +14 goal difference from those fixtures (GF:19, GA:5). Additionally, Jose Mourinho’s men have won their last four home games in major European competitions by an aggregate scoreline of 16-2. The ‘Spurs’ have won each of their three home European meetings with Austrian clubs ‘to nil,’ including a 3-0 victory against LASK in this season’s group stage. However, Tottenham are not enjoying the best of times, as they take the field after losing five of their last eight outings in all competitions (W2, D1), including a 2-1 defeat to West Ham United back at the weekend.

Meanwhile, Wolfsberger have only drawn one of their seven Europa League matches this season (W3, L3), with each game won/lost in that sequence seeing the victor get on the scoresheet first and four yielding a clean sheet. Topically, just one of their eight away European fixtures has ended level (W4, L3), with six results (win/loss) witnessing the winner on the day register a shutout – qualifying included. Wolfsberger will have to produce something special to become the first team ever to overcome a three-goal deficit from the first leg at home in the Europa League knock-out stages. A return of three wins from their last five competitive away games is handy coming into this encounter, though it’s worth noting they’ve only kept a clean sheet once in their previous six road trips.

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Barcelona vs Elche 25/02/21

Barcelona will be looking to return to winning ways in La Liga when they meet relegation-threatened Elche at Camp Nou this midweek.

Barcelona’s seven-game winning streak in La Liga suffered a setback last weekend, with Cadiz walking away from Camp Nou with a shocking 1-1 draw. Interestingly, it was the first time this season Barca had failed to land all three points after taking a first-half lead, having won all 12 previous such league contests. Although the ‘Catalans’ enter this round on the back of a 13-match unbeaten La Liga run (W10, D3), reducing an eight-point deficit on top-placed Atletico Madrid now looks to be too tall of an order. Yet, Ronald Koeman’s men have only lost one of their 12 La Liga home matches this season (W7, D4), courtesy of a 3-1 defeat to Real Madrid. On the other hand, they have been ruthless against the current bottom-three this term, winning each of their three such fixtures without conceding once!  

Meanwhile, Elche snatched away an all-important 1-0 home win over Eibar last time out, putting an end to a horrendous 16-game winless league streak (D8, L8). As a result, ‘Los Franjiverdes’ now sit level on points with 17th-placed Eibar and have two games in hand on the direct relegation rivals. Hardly, though, it changes the fact they’ve failed to win any of their last eight La Liga matches on the road (D3, L5), conceding over 1.5 goals on four occasions in that period. Furthermore, Fran Escribá’s men have developed a habit of falling behind without recovering, surrendering the points in all but one of the six La Liga trips in which they conceded the opening goal this season (D1, L5). Topically, they have lost each of their three competitive trips to Camp Nou this millennium without getting on the scoresheet.

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City

A tasty-looking midweek Premier League clash pits Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City against each other at the Amex Stadium. In...