Friday, April 30, 2021

Villarreal vs Getafe

Fresh from a 2-1 first-leg win over Arsenal in their UEFA Europa League semi-final tie, Villarreal look to carry momentum to La Liga as they take on Getafe at the Estadio de la Ceramica.

Villarreal have suffered three defeats in their last four La Liga outings (W1), all of which came by the identical 2-1 scoreline, with the deciding goal in two arriving beyond the 70th minute. Worryingly, Unai Emery’s men have lost four of their last five home La Liga fixtures (W1), with four of them yielding the same 2-1 FT score. ‘El Submarino Amarillo’ have not drawn any of their last nine league matches (W4, L5), with 77.78% of the games won/lost in this sequence seeing the victor fail to keep a clean sheet. A stalemate seems like a highly improbable outcome, knowing that none of the previous nine top-flight meetings between Villarreal and Getafe here have ended level (W6, L3), with seven of them seeing the sides separated at full-time by a single-goal margin.

Meanwhile, Getafe pulled off a 2-0 away victory over relegation-threatened Huesca last time out, ending a run of seven La Liga games without a win (D4, L3). The clean sheet has been a common theme in Getafe’s La Liga matches this calendar year as 13 of 18 have seen one or both sides fail to get on the scoresheet, including 11 of the last 14. Before beating Huesca in their most recent league trip, ‘El Geta’ had gone winless in seven away La Liga fixtures on the trot (D1, L6), with 66.67% of their defeats in that time yielding a losing margin of 2+ goals. Furthermore, Jose Bordalas’ men have lost each of their last three top-flight clashes against Villarreal, two of which via the same 3-1 scoreline.

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Valencia vs Barcelona

The La Liga title is at stake as Barcelona head to the Estadio de Mestalla to meet a Valencia side they drew 2-2 against in the reverse fixture earlier in the season.

Valencia have gone winless in five consecutive La Liga matches (D3, L2) since beating Granada 2-1 at this venue on Matchday 28 as they currently sit only six points clear of the drop zone. Despite their La Liga wobble, ‘Los Murciélagos’ have reeled off a series of high-scoring contests of late, with five of their last six league games seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Notably, though, Javi Garcia’s men have yet to lose a home La Liga fixture since the calendar flipped to 2021 (W4, D4) despite conceding the opening goal in 62.5% of those matches. The hosts can also draw confidence from a two-game unbeaten run against Barcelona in La Liga (W1, D1). Having that said, Valencia have defeated Barca just once in their last nine encounters in La Liga (D4, L4).

On the other hand, a shocking 2-1 home defeat to Granada in midweek knocked Barcelona down from a two-game winning run in La Liga, leaving them two points adrift of league leaders Atletico Madrid. It was also the first time this season that they had lost a league game in which they were in front at half-time (W17, D1, L1). However, the visitors have won all but one of their ten top-flight trips since the turn of the year, barring a 2-1 loss to arch-rivals Real Madrid in early April. Industrious as ever, Ronald Koeman’s men have found the net in 25 La Liga fixtures on the bounce, netting an average of 2.48 goals in the process. In fact, the Catalan juggernauts have netted a league-high 77 goals this season, at least 17 more than any other side in the division.

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Udinese vs Juventus

Dealing with severe pressure in the Serie A top-four race, Juventus travel to the Dacia Arena to tackle Udinese in a must-win league encounter.

Since being held to a 1-1 draw to Genoa on Matchday 27, ‘I Friulani’ have not drawn any of their subsequent six Serie A matches (W2, L4), five of which yielded a slim one-goal margin. There’s been a dip in form for Udinese at home recently, as they’ve gone from three straight Serie A wins at the Dacia Arena to three defeats in a row. Each game won/lost in that period saw the victor keep a clean sheet while four produced a narrow 1-0 scoreline. Some sloppy pieces of defending have highlighted Udinese’s recent league outings, with Luca Gotti’s men conceding a penalty in each of their last four Serie A games. Another potential issue for the hosts could be that they have failed to shut Juventus out in any of their last five top-flight H2Hs here, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per match.

Meanwhile, the visitors have endured mixed fortunes across their last three Serie A games (W1, D1, L1), a sequence that leaves them in fourth, albeit level on points with fifth-placed AC Milan. Away from home, the reigning Italian champions have managed to pick up just one victory in their last six league fixtures (D3, L2), frustratingly scoring under 1.5 goals in 66.67% of those trips. Andrea Pirlo’s men can find some comfort in the fact that they’ve won six of their previous seven top-flight meetings with Udinese, barring a 2-1 defeat in their most recent league visit to the Dacia Arena. To optimize their chances of winning, ‘I Bianconeri’ will have to avoid a first-half upset, considering they’ve failed to win any of the four away Serie A matches in which they were trailing at half-time this season (D2, L2).

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Sampdoria vs Roma

The two out-of-form Serie A sides will lock horns at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris as Sampdoria meet Roma.

None of Sampdoria’s last four Serie A games has ended level (W2, L2) since a 1-1 draw at AC Milan on Matchday 29, with three of the four results (win/loss) in this sequence seeing the winner on the day preserve a clean sheet. However, ‘I Blucerchiati’ have lost four of their last five Serie A matches against Roma (D1), as many defeats as they had in their previous 12 H2Hs in the competition. Furthermore, Sampdoria have drawn a blank in three of their last four league meetings with this opposition, scoring a consolation goal in a 2-1 loss at the Stadio Olimpico in June 2020. Claudio Ranieri’s men have struggled to cope with the division best sides this season, having lost seven of their last eight home Serie A games versus teams starting the day in the top-seven in the standings (W1).

In the meantime, Roma are desperate to bounce back from a 6-2 humiliation to Manchester United in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League semi-final ties in midweek. Additionally, the visitors are winless in their last three Serie A matches (D1, L2), conceding precisely three goals in each defeat in this run. Roma’s defensive frailties have seen them let in 2+ goals in four consecutive league trips ahead of the kick-off at an average of 2.5 per game. On the bright side, though, ‘I Giallorossi’ haven’t lost any of their last seven top-flight fixtures at Ferraris (W4, D3). Delivering action from the get-go, Paulo Fonseca’s men have netted a league-high 22 goals within the first 30 minutes of play this season, which accounts for 37.93% of their total Serie A goals scored this campaign (58).

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Sassuolo vs Atalanta

High-flying Sassuolo will be looking to put the brakes on a disastrous seven-game losing Serie A streak to Atalanta when the two sides meet at the Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore this weekend.

Coming into this matchday, Sassuolo have enjoyed a massive upturn in form, going from three Serie A games without winning to four league victories in a row, three of which were decided by a single-goal margin. Interestingly, two of Sassuolo’s last three Serie A wins have seen them come from a half-time deficit to pick up all three points, netting the winner beyond the hour mark on each occasion. There has been plenty of action in the home side’s recent league fixtures as six of the last eight have witnessed 3+ goals and both teams scoring. Considering each of the previous five top-flight H2Hs between these two sides has produced over 3.5 FT goals (5.6 on average), another high-scoring affair is well on the cards.

Meanwhile, Atalanta have gone into overdrive since losing 1-0 at Internazionale on Matchday 26, racking up a seven-match unbeaten run in Serie A (W6, D1). Free-scoring ‘La Dea’ scored an average of 2.57 goals across that run of fixtures, getting on the scoresheet within 30 minutes of play in four of the last five. Topically, Gian Piero Gasperini’s men have been relentless against Sassuolo lately, netting 3+ goals in each of their last six top-flight meetings with this opposition on an average of 4.16 per game! Quick out of the blocks, the visitors have bagged a league-high 19 first-half goals away from home this season, though it’s worth noting that only 25% of their Serie A trips have featured the opener within the first 15 minutes.

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Real Valladolid vs Real Betis

Seeking revenge for a 2-0 defeat in the reverse fixture, relegation-threatened Real Valladolid welcome Real Betis to the Estadio José Zorrilla.

Having failed to win their last seven La Liga fixtures (D5, L2), Valladolid head into proceedings frantically looking over their shoulders as they sit just outside the drop zone, albeit level on points with 18th-placed Elche. At home, ‘Los Pucelanos’ have failed to win their last three league games (D2, L1) despite winning the first half by the same 1-0 scoreline on each occasion. Additionally, Sergio Gonzalez’s men have picked up just one victory in their seven top-flight meetings with Andalusian rivals this season (D4, L2), courtesy of a 3-1 win at Granada in November. Low scoring has been a theme in Valladolid’s recent La Liga matches as nine of the last 12 have featured under 2.5 total goals, though 66.67% of them have seen both teams score.

Coming into this matchday, Betis have drawn five consecutive La Liga matches, two more than they had in their previous 28 in the competition (W14, D3, L11). Away from home, ‘Los Verdiblancos’ have gone from back-to-back league victories to three successive La Liga trips without winning (D2, L1), drawing a blank twice in that period. Furthermore, three of Betis’ last four away league fixtures have featured under 1.5 total goals, with three of the four strikes in this spread of games coming before half-time. Manuel Pellegrini’s men have failed to produce much from open play lately, as witnessed by the fact that nine of their last 12 La Liga goals scored have arrived from set pieces. It’s also worth noting that 50% of Betis’ league matches on the road have seen a goal netted beyond the 75th minute.

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Rangers vs Celtic

One of the most highly anticipated fixtures on the European football schedule will take place at Ibrox Stadium as Rangers meet Celtic in a massive Old Firm showdown in the Scottish Premiership.

Since Steven Gerrard arrived at the helm in summer 2018, Rangers have defeated arch-rivals in four of their five home encounters in all competitions (L1), with each game won/lost in this sequence yielding a clean sheet and under 2.5 FT goals. Curiously, each of Rangers’ last five Premiership goals scored in Old Firm derbies has come from set-pieces, with four of them arriving after corners. Notably, the ‘Gers’ boast a resounding 100% win ratio at home this Premiership campaign (W17), returning a +46 goal difference for good measure (GF:49, GA:3). Indeed, when Rangers win at Ibrox, it tends to be in an emphatic fashion, with 47.06% of their home league triumphs featuring a winning margin of 3+ goals. Moreover, no team has scored more first-half league goals at home than Rangers (24) this term.

Having failed to outplay bitter opponents in any of their three Old Firm league derbies this season (D1, L2), Celtic stare at the prospect of missing out on a triumph versus Rangers in a single Premiership campaign for the first time since 1999/2000. Additionally, the ‘Hoops’ have lost three of their last four top-flight trips to Ibrox (W1) after winning each of their previous four in a row. Since defeating St. Johnstone 2-1 in late February, the ‘Bhoys’ have gone winless in three away league matches (D2, L1) and may now fail to pick up all three points in four consecutive Premiership travels for the first time since May 2013. Celtic’s away league action often sparks into life after half-time, with 68% of their total Premiership goals scored/conceded on the road this term coming in the second half of play (34/50).

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Bologna vs Fiorentina

The two sides that have had identical returns from their last four Serie A fixtures (W1, D1, L2) go head-to-head at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara as Bologna take on Fiorentina.

Bologna’s humiliating 5-0 away loss to Atalanta last time out was their third in five Serie A games (W1, D1), with each defeat in that spread of matches coming ‘to nil.’ Things do look better for the hosts at Renato Dall’Ara, where they have won three of their last five Serie A fixtures (D1, L1), all of which via a winning margin of 2+ goals. Though both of the previous two top-flight meetings between Bologna and Fiorentina here have ended level, ‘I Rossoblu’ have drawn just one of their last ten Serie A matches (W4, L5). Worryingly, though, Sinisa Mihajlovic’s men have failed to score in 73.33% of their previous 15 Serie A encounters with Fiorentina (11), spanning back to 2012. The last time Bologna won a league game against this opposition was in 2013, losing eight of their subsequent 13 H2Hs since then (D5).

On the other hand, the visitors can’t catch a break despite going from back-to-back Serie Ad defeats to two straight league matches without losing (W1, D1), as they have yet to win consecutive Serie A games this season. Moreover, Giuseppe Iachini’s men have failed to register a shutout in each of their last ten league outings, last having a longer streak without a clean sheet in 2010 (13). Particularly vulnerable from set-pieces, ‘La Viola’ have conceded a league-high 20 goals from such plays this season. What’s more, only three sides have shipped more away league goals than Fiorentina (31) this term, with their tally of 18 second-half goals conceded on the road the fifth-worst in the division. Since 50% of Fiorentina’s Serie A trips in 2020/21 have seen the opener scored within the first 15 minutes, the fast beginning is well on the cards.

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Monaco vs Olympique Lyonnais

The weekend’s Ligue 1 action concludes at the Stade Louis II as Monaco meet Olympique Lyonnais in a massive, heavyweight Ligue 1 showdown.

High-flying Monaco have suffered just one reverse in their last 19 Ligue 1 fixtures (W15, D3), courtesy of a 1-0 defeat at Strasbourg on Matchday 29. Since being held to a bore draw to Lille in mid-March, ‘Les Monégasques’ have gone into overdrive, winning each of their five subsequent league games by an aggregate score of 15-0 and closing the gap on top-placed Lille to just two points. Remarkably, Niko Kovac’s men have achieved a shutout in each of their last nine matches in all competitions and are one game away from setting a new club record. Too hot to handle at the Stade Louis II, Monaco have accrued 38 home points this Ligue 1 season, at least four more than any other side (W11, D5, L1), and are undefeated in their last nine top-flight fixtures at home (W6, D3).

Meanwhile, Lyon threw away a 2-0 home lead against Lille last time out (3-2 loss) and saw their hopes of lifting their first Ligue 1 title in 13 years go out the window. ‘Les Gones’ have experienced mixed fortunes over their last six league matches (W2, D2, L2), five of which saw both teams score. On the bright side, though, Rudi Garcia’s men have gone undefeated in 15 away Ligue 1 games on the bounce (W9, D6) since a 2-1 defeat to Montpellier in mid-September. Adding to their confidence, the visitors have scored in 16 consecutive road trips across all competitions in the build-up to this fixture, setting the club record in the process. Quick out of the blocks, Lyon have scored the second-high 17 first-half goals on the road this term.

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Newcastle United vs Arsenal

St James’ Park is the venue as Arsenal look to continue their imperious run against Newcastle United in the Premier League. The London giants have won 15 of their last 16 top-flight H2Hs (L1).

Newcastle have gone undefeated in their last four Premier League matches (W2, D2) since losing 3-0 at Brighton on Matchday 29, despite trailing at half-time on three occasions in that run of fixtures. However, the ‘Magpies’ have lost five consecutive top-flight meetings against Arsenal by an aggregate score of 12-1, drawing a blank in each of the last four. By extension, Newcastle have secured just three victories in their previous 22 Premier League encounters with this opposition at St James’ Park (D8, L11). Another thing that may concern Steve Bruce is his team’s inability to keep a clean sheet at home. Indeed, United have registered just a single shutout in their last 20 home matches in the Premier League, courtesy of a goalless draw with Liverpool back in December. Curiously, each of their last eight league games here has seen both teams score.

On the other hand, a dismal 1-0 home defeat to Everton last time out struck a devastating blow on Arsenal’s hopes of securing a top-seven finish as they take the field trailing seventh-placed Tottenham by seven points. However, the ‘Gunners’ have not lost any of their last four away Premier League fixtures (W3, D1), scoring precisely three goals per match three times in the process. A lack of concentration before half-time has seen the Londoners register a clear majority (88.24%) of their total Premier League goals conceded on the road in the second half of play (15/17). Notably, though, Mikel Arteta’s men boast a 100% conversion rate in the Premier League games that saw them pick up a half-time lead this season (W7). Yet, the visitors go into this showdown on the back of a 2-1 first-leg defeat to Villarreal in the UEFA Europa League semi-finals.

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Tottenham Hotspur vs Sheffield United

Sitting five points adrift of fourth-placed Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur welcome dead-last Sheffield United to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in a must-win Premier League fixture.

A 2-1 home victory over Southampton in their most recent Premier League fixture means each of Tottenham’s last four league games has seen over 2.5 goals and both teams on the scoresheet (W1, D2, L1). Despite blowing hot and cold lately, the ‘Spurs’ are confident of finding the net here, having scored in each of their last ten Premier League outings. Since drawing 1-1 with Fulham in mid-January, none of Tottenham’s seven subsequent home league matches have ended level (W4, L3), with 71.43% of those contests yielding a winning/losing margin of 2+ goals. However, the Londoners have never lost a home Premier League encounter with Sheffield (W2, D2), with each win in that four-game sequence producing the identical 2-0 scoreline. Topically, 62.5% of Tottenham’s home league wins this season were ‘to nil’ (5/8).

Meanwhile, Sheffield United secured a 1-0 home victory over Brighton last time out. Unfortunately, it was a little bit too late for the visitors, who have already lost mathematical chances to avoid relegation. The ‘Blades’ had lost five consecutive Premier League fixtures before the abovementioned triumph, scoring one goal while conceding 13 in return. Sloppy entries have seen Sheffield let in a league-high 32 first-half goals this season while scoring the division-low eight in this exact timeframe. Away from home, Paul Heckingbottom’s men have netted the fewest seven goals this season and could finish the 2020/21 campaign as the only side not to smash a ten-goal barrier on the road. Additionally, the visitors have lost 87.5% of their away Premier League matches this term (W1, D1, L14), with eight of those 14 defeats being accompanied by a half-time deficit.

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Manchester United vs Liverpool

Manchester United and Liverpool go head-to-head at Old Trafford in a real clash of the Premier League titans.

Despite trailing 2-1 at half-time, Manchester United staged an out-of-this-world second-half comeback to defeat Roma 6-2 in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League semi-final tie and stretch their unbeaten run in all competitions to seven games (W6, D1). In the Premier League alone, the ‘Red Devils’ are unbeaten in their last 13 matches (W7, D6), with 71.43% of their victories in this run yielding a winning margin of 2+ goals. Furthermore, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men have suffered just one defeat in their last 15 competitive home meetings with Liverpool (W10, D4) and are unbeaten in the last eight in a row since a 3-0 reverse in March 2014. Against this backdrop, United have claimed only one triumph in their previous nine Premier League encounters with the reigning champions (D6, L2) but none in the last five (D3, L2).

On the other hand, despite totaling 22 attempts (9 on target), Liverpool played out a 1-1 home draw with Newcastle United last time out and are currently four points behind fourth-placed Chelsea. The ‘Reds’ have now drawn twice in a row after winning three consecutive Premier League fixtures beforehand. On the road, Jurgen Klopp’s men have racked up five triumphs in their last seven Premier League games (D1, L1), more than they had in their previous 15 away from Anfield (W4, D6, L5). Liverpool’s road action usually sparks into life after half-time, with 65.31% of their total away league goals scored/conceded so far this season coming in the second half of play (32/49). Interestingly, quick-start Liverpool have found the opening goal (if any) in the joint-highest 75% of their Premier League trips this term (12/16).

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Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig go head-to-head at the Weserstadion in the one-off DFB Pokal semi-final showdown.

The hosts have been relentless en route to setting up this semi-final tie, easing past lower-league outfits CZ Jena, Hannover 96, Greuther Furth, and Jan Regensburg in the previous rounds. Notably, Werder have yet to concede a goal in this season’s DFB Pokal, having scored eight on the other end of the pitch. However, Leipzig will be their first top-flight opposition in the competition this term. Worryingly, though, Florian Kohfeldt’s men have lost their last four competitive meetings with Leipzig by an aggregate score of 12-1, with three of those defeats yielding a losing margin of three goals. Coming into this encounter, ‘Die Werderaner’ have suffered four consecutive defeats in the Bundesliga, three of which saw them concede 3+ goals. Furthermore, Werder failed to score before half-time three times during that same four-game sequence.

Meanwhile, Leipzig have made light work of their DFB Pokal campaign thus far, ousting Nurnberg, Augsburg, Bochum, and Wolfsburg by an aggregate score of 12-0. Seeking their first title under outgoing Julian Nagelsmann, ‘Die Roten Bullen’ could get past the DFB Pokal semi-finals for the first time since losing 3-0 to Bayern Munich in the 2018/19 final. Ahead of the kick-off, none of Leipzig’s last nine competitive away matches have ended in a draw (W5, L3), with 62.5% of those fixtures yielding a winning/losing margin of 2+ goals. Notably, the visitors have found the net in 13 consecutive road trips across domestic competitions, bagging over 1.5 goals in six of the last eight. The clean sheet has been a common theme in Leipzig’s recent competitive games as four of the last six have seen one or both sides fail to score (W3, D1, L2).

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Real Madrid vs Osasuna

Real Madrid’s pursuit of their second successive La Liga title continues this weekend as they take on mid-table Osasuna at the Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium.

In spite of two bore draws in their last three La Liga outings (W1), Real Madrid remain firmly in the race for the title as they trail top-placed Atletico Madrid by just two points ahead of the kick-off. Since suffering a shocking 2-1 loss to Levante in late January, ‘Los Blancos’ have clicked into gear at home, racking up a seven-match unbeaten league streak in Madrid (W5, D2). Zinedine Zidane has shored up Madrid’s defense this season, as evidenced by the fact they have conceded second joint-low ten home goals this La Liga campaign, letting in over 1.5 goals per home league game just twice (12.5%) in 16 such contests so far. ‘Los Merengues’ could improve that record here as they take on a side they have shut out in two of their last three top-flight H2Hs as hots (W3).

Meanwhile, Osasuna’s most recent La Liga trip yielded a 2-1 defeat to Celta Vigo, halting a four-game unbeaten run away from home (W3, D1). ‘Los Rojillos’ registered a shutout three times during that abovementioned sequence, though each came against the sides from the bottom half of the table. Nonetheless, the visitors have established themselves as a water-tight defensive unit this season, having shipped over 1.5 goals per away league match in just 31.25% of their La Liga trips thus far. By contrast, Jagoba Arrasate’s men have conceded an average of 4.4 goals on average across their last five top-flight trips to Madrid (L5), letting in 4+ goals on four occasions! Additionally, Osasuna have lost both this season’s trips to the current top-four teams by an aggregate score of 5-0.

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PSG vs Lens

Paris Saint-Germain have no margin for error if they are to retain the Ligue 1 title as they welcome high-flying Lens to the Parc des Princes this weekend.

With four league games left to play, PSG trail top-placed Lille by a point. ‘Les Parisiens’ have gone into overdrive since suffering a 1-0 home defeat to Lille on Matchday 31, winning each of their three subsequent Ligue 1 matches by an aggregate score of 10-4. Following a 1-0 loss in the reverse fixture back in September, the reigning French champions are keen to avoid suffering their first top-flight double to Lens since the 2003/04 season. However, PSG have claimed just two victories in their last ten home Ligue 1 meetings with this opposition (D3, L5), though they won the most recent one by four goals to one. Mauricio Pochettino’s men have succumbed to three defeats in their last four Ligue 1 games at the Parc des Princes (W1), as many as they had in their previous 46 at home in the competition (W39, D4).

Coming into this matchday, the visitors have racked up an impressive 13-game unbeaten run in Ligue 1 (W6, D7), alternating between victory (5) and draw (5) in their last ten league outings. Furthermore, Lens have put together eight consecutive away Ligue 1 matches without losing (W4, L4) en route to setting a record for newly-promoted sides in the 21st century. Interestingly, each of Lens’ last six away league games has seen both teams score, with four of them producing over 2.5 total goals. Home and away, ‘Sang et Or’ have scored and conceded in ten straight Ligue 1 fixtures, returning a +7 goal difference from that spread of matches (GF:20, GA:13). Another bright spot has been their ability to grind out a result after falling behind – Franck Haise’s men have lost only 37.5% of the Ligue 1 games in which they conceded first this term (GP8 – W1, D4, L3).

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Elche vs Atletico Madrid

Relegation-threatened Elche and La Liga leaders Atletico Madrid will lock horns at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero this weekend.

Elche’s narrow 1-0 home triumph over Levante last time out put the brakes on a dismal seven-game winless La Liga run (D3, L4), marking their first clean sheet in the league since mid-February. Despite fighting tooth and nail to escape from the drop zone, the hosts have been impressive at home lately, having avoided defeat in their last six home La Liga matches (W3, D3), four of which featured under 2.5 total goals. To keep that run going, ‘Los Franjiverdes’ will have to prevent Atletico from scoring the opening goal, considering they’ve failed to win any of the 19 league games in which they conceded first this season (D5, L14). To their credit, Fran Escriba’s men have lost just one of their three home encounters with the current top-four sides in the standings this term (W1, D1, L1).

Following back-to-back wins over relegation-threatened sides Huesca and Eibar by an aggregate score of 7-0, Atletico Madrid succumbed to a 2-1 away loss to Athletic Club last time out. The visitors enter this round frantically looking over their shoulders as they hold a slim two-point lead on closest followers Real Madrid and Barcelona. Away from home, ‘Los Colchoneros’ have alternated draw (2) and defeat (2) in their last four La Liga fixtures since beating Villarreal 2-0 on Matchday 25, netting under 1.5 goals on each occasion. Indeed, Diego Simeone’s men have registered just 38.33% of their total La Liga goals scored this season on the road (23/60), managing an average of 1.43 goals per league trip so far. But they have won each of their last five top-flight meetings with Elche via at least a two-goal margin, including a 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture back in December.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel

Overwhelming favorites to secure a place in the DFB Pokal final, Borussia Dortmund entertain second-tier Holstein Kiel at the Signal Iduna Park in the cup semi-finals.

Borussia Dortmund have barely broken a sweat en route to qualifying for the DFB Pokal semi-finals, having eased past Duisburg, Eintracht Braunschweig, and Borussia Monchengladbach without conceding once. The lone exception was a hard-fought penalty shoot-out triumph at the expense of Paderborn in the round of 16. ‘Die Borussen’ have won each of their last four matches in domestic competitions, returning a +8 goal difference from those successes (GF:11, GA:3), with their last three victories yielding a winning margin of 2+ goals. At the Signal Iduna Park, Edin Terzic’s men have gone from back-to-back 2-1 losses to two straight victories, both of which saw them score in both halves and find the net within 29 minutes of play. Dortmund have faced Holstein only once in the 21st century, coming out 4-0 victors in the 2011/12 DFB Pokal quarter-finals.

Meanwhile, Holstein Kiel have demonstrated their capability for causing a major upset this season, having dispatched reigning DFB Pokal and Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich in the second round. In addition to beating the ‘Bavarians’ on a penalty shoot-out, Kiel went past Darmstadt under similar circumstances in the last-16 before hammering Rot-Wiess Essen 3-0 in the quarter-finals. Desperate to perform another upset, Ole Werner’s men take the field after picking up just one victory in their last five road trips in the 2. Bundesliga (D2, L2). Despite failing to keep a clean sheet in five consecutive away games, the visitors have managed to restrict their opposition to a single goal per match four times in this sequence. However, a lack of firepower in the front third has seen ‘Die Störche’ score under 1.5 goals in seven of their last nine competitive outings, managing an average of 1.33 goals per game.

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Everton vs Aston Villa

Aston Villa head to Goodison Park to take on Everton, looking to extend an undefeated run in their Premier League H2Hs to three games (W1, D1).

A keenly-contested 1-0 away win over Arsenal last time out ended Everton’s disastrous five-game winless run in the Premier League (D3, L2). However, a lack of end product in the final third continues to torment Carlo Ancelotti’s side as they’ve now scored under 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight league matches, drawing a blank at half-time on five occasions. At Goodison, the ‘Toffees’ have claimed just one victory in their last nine Premier League fixtures (D3, L5), courtesy of a narrow 1-0 win over Southampton back in March. A half-time lead would provide a massive boost to the home team’s hopes of winning, given their impressive 90.91% win-ratio in the league games that saw them ahead at the break this term (W10, D1). Curiously, Everton’s aerial strength has seen 27.3% of their total Premier League goals scored this season converted by headers (12/44).

On the other hand, the visitors have suffered a dip in form ahead of this trip, going winless in three consecutive Premier League matches since a 3-1 home victory over relegation-threatened Fulham in early April (D1, L2). By extension, Dean Smith’s men have lost nine of their 18 top-flight outings since the turn of the year, with only two sides suffering more defeats in 2021 so far. Yet, the ‘Lions’ have been quite an exciting team to watch lately, with each of their last four Premier League games seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams on the scoresheet. There has been plenty of early drama in Aston Villa’s recent league fixtures, with each of the last two seeing both sides score within the opening 25 minutes of play.

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Celta Vigo vs Levante

Celta Vigo and Levante go head-to-head at the Estadio de Balaídos in a mid-table La Liga showdown.

Celta claimed a tight 2-1 home victory over Osasuna last time out to break a three-game winless La Liga streak (D1, L2) and further solidify their position in mid-table. Despite enduring a somewhat topsy-turvy period, ‘Los Celestes’ showcased their capability to produce high-scoring matches regularly, with five of their last six league fixtures seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. Before the abovementioned success against Osasuna, Eduardo Coudet’s men were winless in their previous four home La Liga games (D2, L2), which has been the case in their last two top-flight H2Hs as hosts (L2). Another ‘goal-friendly’ affair is well on the cards, considering that each of the last four La Liga meetings between these two sides at the Balaídos has seen both teams on the scoresheet in matches garnering 4+ FT goals.

In the meantime, the visitors have collapsed following a 1-0 away win at Eibar on Matchday 30, going on to lose three La Liga games in succession, suffering identical 1-0 defeats in their last two league outings. The ‘clean-sheet’ theme has highlighted Levante’s recent away La Liga fixtures as all of the last five have seen one side fail to get on the scoresheet (W2, L3), with each of them featuring under 2.5 total goals. Worryingly, though, slow-starting Levante have conceded the opening goal in a league-high 13 La Liga trips this season, albeit they’ve avoided defeat in 46.15% of such contests (W2, D4, L7). Action-packed football in the latter stages of play should not be discarded, given that 50% of their away league matches so far have seen a goal scored beyond the 75-minute mark (8/16).

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Crystal Palace vs Manchester City

Fresh from beating PSG in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League semi-final tie, Manchester City head to Selhurst Park to meet Crystal Palace in a potentially title-deciding Premier League fixture.

Since beating West Brom 1-0 at home on Matchday 28, Crystal Palace have gone winless in three Premier League fixtures on the trot (D1, L2), scoring precisely once in each of them while conceding seven goals in return. Palace’s defensive woes have seen them let in a league third-high 25 goals at home this season, including the joint-high 14 first-half goals. Coming off the back of back-to-back Premier League defeats, the ‘Eagles’ face a risk of losing three league games in a row for the first time this season. Such a prospect is well within the realm of possibility, considering they have suffered four defeats in their last five top-flight H2Hs as hosts (D1), frustratingly drawing a blank on three occasions in the process.

Meanwhile, Manchester City head into proceedings on the back of an intimidating 10-game winning run in away Premier League matches, returning a resounding +22 goal difference for good measure (GF:26, GA:4). Notably, the runaway league leaders enter this round as the only side yet to concede double digits on the road this term (9). Curiously, though, Pep Guardiola’s men have conceded the opener in their last two Premier League fixtures (W1, L1), more than they had in their previous 23 in the competition (1). By far the most impressive away side in the English top-flight, the ‘Citizens’ have won 12 out of 16 league trips so far (D3, L1). The margins of their Premier League triumphs away from home have been convincing, with 66.67% of their road victories yielding a winning margin of 2+ goals (8/12).

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United

Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United go head-to-head at the Amex Stadium as the home side look to post their first Premier League double over this opponent.

Brighton take the field after failing to win four Premier League matches in succession (D2, L2), having drawn a blank in each of the last three. However, a record of seven victories from their previous eight league meetings with Leeds (L1) suggests the ‘Seagulls’ could bounce back in this fixture, especially considering they’ve won their last four league H2Hs as hosts by an aggregate score of 9-0. Additionally, they have registered a shutout in five of their last seven home Premier League outings. The ‘clean-sheet’ theme has been instrumental to Brighton’s home successes this term as they’ve failed to win any of their ten league matches at home in which they conceded at least once (D4, L6). Graham Potter’s men have established themselves as ‘stalemate specialists’ this season, drawing more Premier League games (13) than any other side so far.

On the other hand, the visitors have enjoyed a dramatic upturn in form heading into this showdown, going from back-to-back Premier League reverses to six league games without defeat (W3, D3). Interestingly, each victory during that six-match sequence yielded the identical 2-1 scoreline, with Leeds scoring the first-half opener every time. Ahead of the kick-off, the ‘Whites’ remain the only side in the Premier League yet to draw an away fixture this season (W8, L8), with 14 of those results (win/loss) seeing the winner on the day get on the scoresheet first. Moreover, Marcelo Bielsa’s men boast a 100% win ratio in the league matches that saw them pick up a half-time lead this season (W6).

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Southampton vs Leicester City

Out-of-sorts Southampton welcome Premier League top-four contenders Leicester City to St. Mary’s Stadium, hoping to bring a two-game losing league run to a halt.

Southampton have not drawn any of their last ten matches in all competitions (W3, L7) since a 1-1 Premier League stalemate with Chelsea in mid-February, losing the last three in a row by an aggregate score of 6-1. No team has won fewer Premier League points than Southampton (10) since the turn of the year, with Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men picking up just three victories in 16 league outings in 2021 (D1, L12). Additionally, the hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six home Premier League outings, letting in 11 goals in this sequence, which accounts for 55% of their total goals conceded at St Mary’s so far this term. After succumbing to a 2-0 defeat in the reverse fixture at the King Power Stadium, the ‘Saints’ stare at the prospect of suffering a top-flight double against Leicester for the first time since the 1999/00 campaign.

Meanwhile, the visitors have gone from back-to-back competitive defeats to three consecutive wins in all competitions, with five of their six strikes in this run coming before the hour mark. Before suffering a 3-2 defeat at West Ham in their most recent Premier League trip, the ‘Foxes’ were unbeaten in ten away league matches (W6, D4) despite scoring two goals or less on each occasion. Brendan Rodgers’ men usually put the wheels in motion after the half-time break when away from home, having registered 66.67% of their total league goals scored on the road so far in the second half of play (20/30). Additionally, Leicester have shown great mental fortitude this term, notably avoiding defeat in 71.43% of the away Premier League games after conceding first (GP7 – W2, D3, L2).

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Thursday, April 29, 2021

AC Milan vs Benevento

Out-of-sorts AC Milan will host relegation-threatened Benevento to the Stadio San Siro in a must-win Serie A contest this weekend.

Back-to-back defeats to Lazio and Sassuolo have thrown Milan’s hopes of securing a top-four Serie A finish into a corridor of doubt as they take the field in fifth, albeit level on points with fourth-placed Juventus. However, a return of three victories from their ten home league fixtures since the turn of the year puts ‘I Rossoneri’ in 15th position in the Serie A home match standings in 2021. Indeed, Stefano Pioli’s men have sealed just one triumph in their last six Serie A outings at the San Siro (D2, L3), netting under 1.5 goals five times in the process. Leading at half-time would likely propel Milan back to winning ways, considering their impressive 94.44% win-ratio across Serie A matches that saw them lead at the interval this season (W17, L1).

On the other hand, Benevento head into this encounter winless in their last five Serie A games (D2, L3), a sequence that saw them fall back into the drop zone. Since the calendar flipped to 2021, Filippo Inzaghi’s men have picked up just two victories in 18 top-flight fixtures (D7, L9), halving their points-per-game ratio from the first part of the season (1.2) to a miserly average of 0.6 in the second half of the campaign. Despite their recent form woes, ‘Gli Stregoni’ have produced notably high-scoring affairs of late, as four of their last five league matches have seen both sides score at least twice. Topically, each of their last three Serie A games has witnessed 3+ first-half goals, with both teams scoring on every occasion.

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Chelsea vs Fulham

After a 1-1 first-leg draw with Real Madrid in their UEFA Champions League semi-final tie, Chelsea return to the Premier League action this weekend as they welcome Fulham to Stamford Bridge in an all-London match-up.

Chelsea have hit the ground running in the Premier League under Thomas Tuchel, suffering just a single loss in 14 league matches since the German replaced Frank Lampard in the dugout back in January (W8, D5). But winless in their last two home Premier League fixtures (D1, L1), the ‘Blues’ face a risk of failing to win three consecutive top-flight encounters at Stamford Bridge for the first time this season. Tuchel’s men can draw confidence from their impressive record in London derbies this Premier League season (W6, D1, L1) and the fact they have kept a clean sheet six times across those eight showdowns. Yet, low scoring has been a theme in Chelsea’s recent competitive games as each of the last five has featured two goals or less, with four of them producing under 1.5 total strikes.

Meanwhile, with the prospect of relegation looming, Fulham go into this meeting winless in five Premier League matches (D1, L4) and seven points adrift of 17th-placed Newcastle United. A lack of firepower up front has seen the ‘Cottagers’ net a league second-low 25 goals this top-flight campaign, with only dead-last Sheffield United scoring fewer goals (18) than them. Also, Scott Parker’s men drawn more away Premier League games (8) than any other side this term, including six of nine this calendar year (W2, L1). Worryingly, the visitors have claimed just a single triumph in their last 29 Premier League trips to Stamford Bridge (D10, L18), losing both of their previous league visits to this venue via the same 2-0 scoreline.

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Crotone vs Internazionale

Stadio Ezio Scida is the venue as dead-last Crotone take on title-elect Internazionale in what should be a routine Serie A task for the visitors.

Despite prevailing in a seven-goal thriller at Parma last time out (4-3 win) to halt a six-match losing streak in Serie A, Crotone enter this round nailed to the bottom of the table with a whopping 13-point deficit on 17th-placed Cagliari. Though they already look like a doomed outfit, ‘I Pitagorici’ have reeled off a string of high-scoring contests, with seven of their last nine Serie A games seeing over 4.5 goals and both teams on the scoresheet. Serse Cosmi’s men have lost three consecutive home league fixtures via a narrow one-goal margin, with the deciding goal in each encounter continually coming beyond the 50th minute. The hosts have developed a nasty habit of falling behind without responding, surrendering the points in all 22 Serie A matches in which they conceded first this term.

In the meantime, ‘I Nerazzurri’ have grabbed the most points from losing positions this season (16), notably suffering just two defeats in ten Serie A games in which they shipped the opener (W4, D4, L2). Since the turn of the year, Antonio Conte’s men have kept more clean sheets (10) than any other Italian side and remain the only team yet to concede 30 goals in Serie A this term (29). Additionally, the runaway league leaders have racked up an intimidating 17-game unbeaten streak in Serie A (W13, D4), albeit they’ve scored precisely once per match in their last four top-flight outings. Against this recent low-scoring backdrop, Inter have netted an average of 2.6 goals per Serie A meeting with Crotone, having won three of their previous five league H2Hs (D1, L1).

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Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Athletic Club vs Real Valladolid

Athletic Bilbao will be looking to exact revenge on Real Valladolid for a 2-1 defeat in the reverse fixture earlier in the season when the two sides meet at the Estadio San Mamés this midweek.

Inspired by a 2-1 home victory over Atletico Madrid over the weekend, Athletic Club are hoping to break their Wednesday hoodoo that has seen them fail to win any of their last four La Liga fixtures held on this day (D2, L2). Before squeezing past Diego Simeone’s side, ‘Los Leones’ had drawn five successive league matches, all of which featured under 2.5 total goals. Seeking their first back-to-back La Liga wins this season, the hosts could ensure consecutive successes in the competition for the first time since July 2020. An encounter with relegation-threatened Valladolid sounds like a prime opportunity, especially considering Marcelino Garcia Toral’s men are undefeated in their last seven top-flight H2Hs as hosts (W5, D2), albeit both of their previous such clashes have yielded the identical 1-1 scoreline.

Meanwhile, the visitors have gone winless in six La Liga games on the trot (D4, L2) since outscoring Getafe 2-1 at home on Matchday 26, as they go into this showdown trailing 17th-placed Elche by a point. Four of Valladolid’s last five league outings have featured goals in both halves, with three of them producing the same 1-1 FT score. Entertainment has been relatively sparse in their recent away La Liga fixtures as each of the last five has featured under 2.5 total goals (D4, L1). Worryingly, ‘Los Pucelanos’ have failed to pick up a single victory across their last seven top-flight meetings with the Basque opposition away from home (D3, L4), last winning such contest back in March 2019. Sergio Gonzalez’s main issue heading into this game is his side’s lack of ruthlessness in front of goal that has seen Valladolid net a miserly average of 0.75 goals per La Liga trip this term.

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Barcelona vs Granada

Granada are expected to fulfill the role of walloping boys at Camp Nou as they meet a Barcelona side they have lost to in 17 of their last 19 La Liga H2Hs (W2).

Fresh from a 2-1 victory at Villarreal, Barcelona are looking leapfrog Atletico Madrid at the summit with a win here after claiming back-to-back La Liga successes following a 2-1 defeat to Real Madrid a fortnight ago. Relentless at Camp Nou as ever, the Catalan giants have won four home league matches on the bounce after a dismal 1-1 draw with newly-promoted Cadiz back in mid-February. Ronald Koeman’s men returned a resounding +10 goal difference from the above-mentioned four-game winning streak (GF:13, GA:3), netting 2+ second-half goals on three occasions. The ‘Blaugrana’ seem likely to keep their imperious home form going here as they take on a Granada side they have defeated in each of their 24 La Liga clashes at home, scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game in the process!

On the other hand, Granada found themselves on the wrong end of a 2-1 scoreline at Sevilla last time out, which means none of their previous ten La Liga fixtures have ended in a draw (W4, L6). Far more comfortable at home, the ‘Nazaries’ have secured just a single triumph in their last ten league trips (D2, L7), conceding over 1.5 goals nine times in this sequence. In fact, no team has shipped more away La Liga goals than Granada (33) this term, with their tally of 15 first-half goals conceded on the road second only to Valencia (19). Furthermore, slow-starting visitors have fallen behind in the fourth joint-highest 62.5% of their league road trips this season (10/16), ending up on the losing side in 80% of such contests (W1, D1, L8). Ten of Granada’s 16 away league games have seen a goal scored inside the final 15 minutes of play, highlighting the potential for plenty of late action.

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Manchester United vs Roma

Manchester United and Roma go head-to-head at Old Trafford in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League semi-final tie.

Moving across from the UEFA Champions League group stage for the second time in five years, Manchester United have ousted Real Sociedad, AC Milan, and Granada en route to ensuring a second successive appearance in the Europa League semi-finals. The ‘Red Devils’ relish the prospect of facing Italian adversaries in major European competitions, having suffered just one defeat in their last 12 home games against Serie A visitors (W8, D3). Additionally, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men have won all three of their previous European home meetings with Roma by an aggregate score of 9-1, though the last two have come by the same 1-0 scoreline. Since succumbing to a 1-0 reverse to Borussia Dortmund in the 1996/97 Champions League semis, the Premier League heavyweights have lost none of their seven subsequent home games in European semi-finals (W4, D3).

Meanwhile, Roma made light work of their Europa League Group A campaign, having finished top of the section (W4, D1, L1), the lone defeat courtesy of a 3-1 thumping to CSKA Sofia on Matchday 6. ‘I Giallorossi’ have continued to impress in the competition’s knock-outs, winning all but one of their six elimination fixtures (D1) to overcome Sporting Braga, Shakhtar Donetsk, and Ajax in the previous rounds. However, a trip to England may stir some painful memories, as Paulo Fonseca’s men have failed to land a single victory in their last 12 visits to the country (D4, L8), last beating a Premier League side on foreign soil in February 2001 (1-0 triumph over Liverpool). The visitors can take some confidence from their stunning knock-out form in the Europa League road games this season, having won all three of their outings away from home this spring by scoring precisely twice in each of them.

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Villarreal vs Arsenal

Villarreal and Arsenal will trade tackles at the Estadio de la Ceramica in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League semi-final tie.

‘El Submarino Amarillo’ have performed outstandingly in the Europa League this season, winning all but one of their 12 matches in the competition (D1) en route to reaching their first semi-finals since 2015/16. The last time Villarreal came this far in Europe’s second-tier tournament, they were ousted by Arsenal’s fellow Premier League rivals Liverpool. Worryingly, the Spanish giants have never managed to get past this stage in any major European competition so far, failing in all four attempts. However, Unai Emery could be the catalyst to nudge Villarreal over the line this time around, with the ex-Arsenal boss successfully negotiating each of his six semi-final ties as a manager. Furthermore, the hosts boast a 100% home record this Europa League campaign (W6), returning a +13 goal difference for good measure (GF:18, GA:5).

Meanwhile, Arsenal pulled off a remarkable Europa League campaign in autumn, finishing top of Group B with all six victories and a +15 goal difference (GF:20, GA:5). Despite a few minor setbacks, Mikel Arteta’s men have continued to impress this spring, overcoming Benfica, Olympiacos, and Slavia Praha to set up their first Europa League semi-final tie since the 2018/19 season. Notably, the ‘Gunners’ have been relentless in the semi-final first legs lately, having lost just one of their last nine such contests (W5, D3). Additionally, the visitors have progressed from both previous knock-out ties after securing away wins via at least a two-goal margin. On the downside, the Premier League heavyweights have failed to beat Villarreal in both of their previous UEFA visits to La Ceramica (D2).

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Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Real Madrid vs Chelsea

Real Madrid and Chelsea go head-to-head at the Alfredo di Stefano Stadium in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League semi-final tie.

Despite experiencing a tumultuous group-stage campaign, Real Madrid finished top of Group B ahead of the likes of Borussia Monchengladbach, Inter Milan, and Shakhtar Donetsk. ‘Los Blancos’ ousted Atalanta 4-1 on aggregate (1-0 A, 3-1 H) in the round of 16 before kicking out Liverpool in the quarter-finals following a 3-1 first-leg victory at home (0-0 A). Reigning La Liga champions boast an encouraging overall record in two-legged knock-out ties against Premier League opponents (W9, L5), coming out triumphant in four of the last five (L1). At home, ‘Los Merengues’ have lost just 16.67% of their European fixtures against English visitors (W9, D6). However, Zinedine Zidane’s men have picked up only five victories in their last 11 home Champions League games (D2, L4) despite winning four of five this season (L1).

Meanwhile, Chelsea made light work of their Group E adventure, finishing top of the section without a single loss (W4, D2), conceding only twice during the entire group phase. Thomas Tuchel replaced Frank Lampard in the dugout ahead of the knock-outs and has gone from strength to strength, shutting out Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid in both legs of their last-16 tie (1-0 A, 2-0 H) before beating Porto 2-1 on aggregate in the quarter-finals (2-0 A, 0-1 H). Worryingly, though, the ‘Blues’ have failed to progress from 75% of their UEFA two-legged ties versus La Liga adversaries (W3, D4, L5). On the bright side, however, they have suffered just one defeat in their last 13 home matches against Spanish visitors (W4, D8). Furthermore, Tuchel has never lost to a Spanish team as a manager (W3, D3) and has yet to lose a competitive away game as the Londoners’ boss (W8, D2).

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PSG vs Manchester City

Two sides seeking their first UEFA Champions League title are set to trade tackles at the Parc des Princes as Paris Saint-Germain meet Manchester City in the first leg of their semi-final tie.w

Remarkably, Mauricio Pochettino’s men have found the back of the net in 43 of their last 45 Champions League matches, with identical 1-0 defeats to Bayern Munich lone exceptions. Before a 1-0 loss to Munich in the return leg of their quarter-final tie, ‘Les Parisiens’ had got on the scoresheet in 23 consecutive Champions League games at home. Despite losing just five of their last 60 European fixtures at the Parc des Princes (W38, D17), three of those defeats have come at the hands of English visitors (W1). Additionally, perennial Ligue 1 champions have bowed out in both of their two-legged ties against Premier League sides. Encouragingly, though, the French heavyweights have won 64.29% of their last 28 matches in the Champions League (D4, L6), including six of ten this season (D1, L3).

On the other hand, Manchester City coasted through to the knock-outs, having finished top of Group C without losing (W5, D1), returning a resounding +12 goal difference in the process (GF:13, GA:1). The runaway Premier League leaders secured a comprehensive 4-0 aggregate success against Borussia Monchengladbach in the round of 16 (2-0 A, 2-0 H) before winning both legs of their quarter-final tie versus Borussia Dortmund by the identical 2-1 scoreline. However, Pep Guardiola’s men have suffered elimination in both of their previous two-legged knock-out ties against Ligue 1 sides, including a shocking exit to Lyon in last season’s quarter-finals. Before dismantling Marseille 3-0 at the Stade Velodrome on Matchday 2, the ‘Citizens’ were winless in four European matches against French clubs on the bounce (D1, L3). Notably, though, since the beginning of the 2018/19 campaign, the English giants have netted an average of 2.48 goals per Champions League game.

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Monday, April 26, 2021

Eibar vs Real Sociedad

Rock-bottom Eibar are desperate to return to winning ways in La Liga and earn salvation as they entertain fifth-placed Real Sociedad at the Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa.

Nailed to the bottom of the table, Eibar have lost their last four La Liga fixtures by an aggregate score of 12-1. Only three points will do for the hosts, who enter this round trailing 17th-placed Elche by seven points, with only five league games left to go. ‘Los Armeros’ have gone winless in 15 La Liga matches (D4, L11) since a 2-0 home victory at the expense of Granada in their first league outing of 2021. A genuine lack of firepower in the attacking third has seen Jose Luis Mendilibar’s side score a league-low 23 goals throughout 2020/21, managing a miserable average of 0.71 goals per game. In fact, only one team has netted fewer home league goals than Eibar (8) across Europe’s top-five divisions this season. Low scoring has been a common theme in Eibar’s home La Liga matches this term as only four of 15 have featured over 2.5 FT goals.

On the other hand, Real Sociedad came from behind to beat Celta Vigo 2-1 last time out, ending a run of five La Liga matches without winning (D2, L3). Away from home, ‘La Real’ have picked up just one victory in their six La Liga games since the turn of 2021 (D3, L2), with a narrow 1-0 win over bottom-half-of-the-table Getafe the solitary success in this sequence. Imanol Alguacil’s men now travel to Ipurua, where they’ve suffered four defeats in six La Liga meetings with Eibar (W1, D1), with five of those clashes seeing the sides separated at full-time by under 1.5 goals. Curiously, though, quick-start Sociedad have scored the opening goal (if any) in the second-high ten away La Liga games this season (10/15), going on to win 60% of such fixtures (W6, D2, L2).

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Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio and AC Milan go head-to-head at the Stadio Olimpico in a massive, heavyweight Serie A encounter.

A disastrous 5-2 defeat at the hands of Napoli in midweek put an end to Lazio’s five-match winning streak in Serie A, marking their second straight league game that featured 7+ FT goals. Since the turn of the year, ‘I Biancocelesti’ have won all eight Serie A fixtures at the Stadio Olimpico, with 75% of those victories coming by a narrow one-goal margin. Having won each of their last nine home league outings, Lazio can put together ten consecutive home Serie A triumphs for the first time since 1974. Standing in their way is a Milan side they have failed to shut out in 17 top-flight meetings on the trot, conceding precisely three goals in each of the last two. Moreover, Simone Inzaghi’s men have drawn a blank in three of their previous four competitive H2Hs held at this venue, succumbing to a 3-0 defeat in this exact fixture back in 2019/20.

Meanwhile, Milan spurned a half-time lead to lose 2-1 to Sassuolo at home last time out, ending a run of four Serie A games without defeat (W3, D1). Milan’s last five league outings have seen both teams scoring in matches featuring goals in both halves, with each of them producing at least one goal beyond the 60th minute. ‘I Rossoneri’ have been the best version of themselves when away from home this season, notably picking more road points (40) than any other Italian side (W13, D1, L1). Since a 2-0 loss to Spezia on Matchday 22, Stefano Pioli’s men have racked up a four-game winning away streak in the top division, scoring precisely three goals in each of the last two. In fact, the visitors have netted 2+ goals in the league-highest 93.33% of their Serie A trips this season (14/15).

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Leicester City vs Crystal Palace

Leicester City will be looking to claim their second consecutive Premier League win over Crystal Palace at the King Power Stadium and further cement their place in the top-four race.

Since a 1-1 away draw with Burnley on Matchday 29, none of Leicester’s subsequent five Premier League matches have ended level (W3, L2), with three of those results (win/loss) seeing the victor prevail by over 1.5 goals ‘to nil.’ Since the calendar flipped to 2021, none of Leicester’s 12 competitive matches at the King Power Stadium have ended in a draw (W8, L4), with the ‘Foxes’ failing to put together three straight triumphs in that spread of games. Coming off the back of back-to-back home victories, Brendan Rodgers’ side can win three home matches in a row for the first time this calendar year. But after avoiding defeat in eight successive Premier League home meetings with London visitors (W6, D2), Leicester have lost three of their four such contests this season (W1).

Meanwhile, Crystal Palace’s topsy-turvy period has seen them post just one win in their last six Premier League outings (D3, L2), frustratingly scoring under 1.5 goals on each occasion in the process. Furthermore, the ‘Eagles’ are winless in their last three top-flight clashes against Leicester (D1, L2), with both defeats in this sequence yielding a full-time margin of 2+ goals and seeing Palace draw a blank. Roy Hodgson’s men have gone winless in 17 Premier League fixtures against the sides starting the day inside the top-six in the standings (D5, L12) since beating West Ham 2-1 in October 2019. Adding to a long list of issues, the visitors have conceded the opening goal within 15 minutes of play in nine league games this season, going on to lose eight of them (W1).

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Torino vs Napoli

Stakes are high as relegation-threatened Torino welcome top-four challengers Napoli to the Stadio Olimpico di Torino in an exciting Serie A fixture.

The hosts have gone into overdrive since a 1-0 loss away to Sampdoria on Matchday 28, clocking up a four-game unbeaten Serie A streak (W2, D2) despite conceding first on three occasions in this run. Additionally, ‘I Granata’ have netted 2+ goals in each of their last three home Serie A outings (W2, D1), including a stunning 3-1 comeback against Roma in their most recent league match at Olimpico di Torino. Torino held Napoli to a bore draw in this exact fixture back in 2019/20, halting a four-game losing streak in top-flight H2Hs at home, and could now avoid defeat to this opposition in back-to-back such contests for the first time since 2008. However, Davide Nicola’s men have failed to prevail in any of their last 11 Serie A H2Hs (D4, L7), scoring under 1.5 goals nine times in the process.

In the meantime, Napoli dismantled Lazio 5-2 at home in midweek to stretch their unbeaten Serie A run to three games (W2, D1) and can now leapfrog Juventus in fourth with another win here. Gennaro Gattuso’s men have suffered just one defeat in their last five away Serie A matches (W3, D1, L1) after losing three league trips in a row previously. Gattuso’s all-out approach has seen Napoli draw a joint-low three Serie A fixtures this season (W20, L9), albeit the head coach himself has played out three stalemates in his five managerial encounters with Torino (W1, L1). Away from home, ‘I Partenopei’ have drawn just one of their 16 Serie A games this term (W9, L6), courtesy of a 3-3 tie at Sassuolo on Matchday 25. Remarkably, the visitors boast a resounding 93.75% win-ratio in league contests that saw them claim a half-time lead this season (W15, D1).

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Friday, April 23, 2021

Cagliari vs Roma

Cagliari’s hopes of avoiding relegation are on the line as they entertain Roma in a high-stake Serie A clash at the Sardegna Arena this weekend.

There is no margin for error for the relegation-threatened Sardinian side, who sit three points adrift of safety. Cagliari enter this round on the back of two consecutive Serie A victories, both of which came by a single-goal margin and saw the deciding goal scored beyond the 50th minute. The hosts have wrapped up two wins in four home league matches under current boss Leonardo Semplici (L2), as many as they managed in 12 such outings under previous coach Eusebio Di Francesco (W2, D3, L7). ‘Gli Isolani’ now face a formidable challenge in the shape of a Roma side they have failed to beat in each of their last seven top-flight H2Hs as hosts (D2, L5), conceding a disturbing average of 2.42 goals per game in the process.

Meanwhile, a return of one victory from their last six Serie A outings (D2, L3) has seen Roma drop to seventh in the league standings as they now trail fourth-placed Atalanta by a whopping ten points. With the prospect of a top-four finish clearly out of the picture, ‘I Giallorossi’ will be looking to at least put an end to their frustrating three-game winless away Serie A streak (D1, L2). Easier said than done, with Paulo Fonseca’s men keeping a single clean sheet in their eight league trips since the turn of 2021. Worryingly, Roma conceded 2+ goals on five occasions during that eight-match sequence, including the last three. Despite the recent dip in form, the visitors are confident of securing all-important three points here, knowing they have not lost any of their last 13 top-flight encounters with Cagliari (W9, D4).

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Leeds United vs Manchester United

Leeds United and Manchester United go head-to-head at Elland Road in their first Premier League meeting at this venue since October 2003.

Leeds’ 1-1 home draw with Liverpool last time out extended their unbeaten Premier League run to five games (W3, D2), with each of their last four league matches now seeing both teams score. Yet, entertainment has been relatively sparse in Leeds’ recent home fixtures as three of the previous four have featured under 2.5 total goals. Topically, only 43.75% of their Premier League games at Elland Road this season have produced 3+ total goals. The ‘Whites’ now face a formidable opposition they have defeated only once in their last eight home meetings in all competitions (D2, L5). Their most recent top-flight encounters at this venue have been notably tight, with each of the last seven seeing the sides separated at full-time by under 1.5 goals (W2, D2, L3).

Meanwhile, the visitors take the field after winning five competitive games in a row and are undefeated in their previous 12 Premier League outings (W7, D5), winning the last two by the identical 3-1 scoreline. Away from home, the ‘Red Devils’ have not lost any of their last 23 Premier League fixtures (W15, D8) – the 2019/20 season included – and are only four games short of equaling the longest unbeaten away streak in the Premier League history. Even if they fall behind, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men should have enough character to dig themselves out of trouble, as they’ve won 88.89% of the away league matches in which they conceded first this season (GP9 – W8, D1). Indeed, impressive second-half performances have seen Manchester United return an intimidating +17 second-half goal difference on the road this term (GF:20, GA:3).

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Sevilla vs Granada

Granada will be looking to complete their first La Liga double over Sevilla since 2015/16 when the two teams meet at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán this weekend.

Since drawing 1-1 at Valladolid on Matchday 28, ‘Los Rojiblancos’ have racked up a four-game winning streak in La Liga, with each success in this run coming by a narrow one-goal margin. Thriving in tight contests, Julen Lopetegui’s men have recorded more single-goal wins (13) than any other side in Europe’s top-five divisions this season. Curiously, none of Sevilla’s eight home league matches since the turn of the year have ended in a draw (W7, L1). The clean sheet has been a common theme in their La Liga fixtures at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in 2021 as seven of the eight games won/lost have seen the victor register a shutout. Entertainment has been relatively sparse, though, as each of Sevilla’s last five home league games has featured under 2.5 FT goals, with three of them yielding the identical 1-0 scoreline.

On the other hand, the visitors have claimed back-to-back La Liga victories after losing the previous two matches in a row, with three of those results (win/loss) favoring the side to get on the scoresheet first. Interestingly, none of Granada’s last 15 games in all competitions have ended level (W6, L9), with 46.67% of them featuring the same 2-1 FT score. A 2-1 comeback victory at Valladolid in their most recent La Liga road trip brought Granada’s dismal eight-game winless away league streak to a halt (D2, L6). However, it also means they have yet to keep an away league clean sheet this calendar year. On the bright side, though, the ‘Nazaries’ have won their last two Andalusian derbies and could win three in a row in the competition for only the second time in the club’s history.

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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester City

A tasty-looking midweek Premier League clash pits Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City against each other at the Amex Stadium. In...