Sunday, November 28, 2021

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United

Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United go head-to-head in a hard-to-predict Premier League affair at the Amex Stadium.

It’s been a rollercoaster season for Brighton so far, as they’ve gone from winning four of their opening five Premier League matches (L1) to a frustrating seven-game winless run in the competition (D5, L2). However, this could be Brighton’s chance to return to winning ways, as the ‘Seagulls’ have won their last five home league meetings with Leeds without conceding a single goal. That’s a stark contrast to their recent defensive showings that have seen them ship an average of 2.6 goals per game across their last four Premier League fixtures. If you’re going after goals, you may want to look elsewhere, given that four of Brighton’s six Premier League games at the Amex this season have featured under 2.5 goals, including two of the last three.

Meanwhile, languishing just two points clear of 17th-placed Burnley, Leeds go into this round winless in their last two Premier League outings (D1, L1) despite harboring a 1-0 half-time lead on each occasion. Indeed, keeping the lead has been Leeds’ ‘Achilles heel’ this season, as just two teams have dropped more points from winning positions than Marcelo Bielsa’s men (10) so far. Any hopes of ending their goal drought at the Amex will hinge on Leeds’ ability to improve their conversion rate, having turned in a league second-low 6.9% of their attempts in the Premier League this term (12 goals from 175 shots). With five of the ‘Whites’ six away league matches this season seeing both teams on the scoresheet, it’s reasonable to expect an open, end-to-end game, at least from the visitors.

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